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Is Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings (SZSE:002044) A Risky Investment?

Is Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings (SZSE:002044) A Risky Investment?

美年健康医疗控股有限公司(SZSE:002044)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  09/12 19:14

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002044) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过:“波动性与风险远非同义词。”当我们考虑一个公司的风险性时,我们总是喜欢看看它的负债使用情况,因为负债过重可能导致破产。我们注意到美年健康(股票代码:SZSE:002044)的负债表上确实有负债。但是这些负债对股东来说是否构成了担忧呢?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法轻松偿还债务时,无论是通过筹集资本还是通过自己的现金流,债务才会成为实际问题。如果情况变得非常糟糕,债权人就会控制企业。尽管这不是太常见的情况,但我们经常看到,因为债权人强迫它们以破产价格筹集资本,许多负债累累的公司会永久稀释股东权益。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理其债务,从而为自己带来利益。当我们考虑一家公司的债务使用时,我们首先关注现金和债务。

How Much Debt Does Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings Carry?

美年健康到底承载了多少债务?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings had debt of CN¥2.75b, up from CN¥2.16b in one year. However, it does have CN¥1.82b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥920.7m.

下图是关于美年健康截至2024年6月的债务情况,您可以点击查看更详细信息。该公司的债务从一年前的21.6亿人民币增加到了27.5亿人民币。然而,该公司也持有18.2亿人民币的现金,从而抵消了这笔债务,使净负债约为92070万人民币。

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SZSE:002044 Debt to Equity History September 12th 2024
SZSE:002044的资产负债历史记录(2024年9月12日)

How Strong Is Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings' Balance Sheet?

美年健康的资产负债表有多强大?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings had liabilities of CN¥7.73b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥2.70b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.82b as well as receivables valued at CN¥3.35b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥5.25b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到美年健康在12个月内有77.3亿元的负债,超出12个月的负债为27亿元。与之抵消的是,其现金为18.2亿元,以及12个月内到期的应收账款为33.5亿元。因此,其负债总额比现金和短期应收账款的组合多出52.5亿元。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings has a market capitalization of CN¥13.1b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

虽然这听起来很多,但并不算太糟糕,因为美年健康的市值为131亿元,所以如果需要的话,它可能通过增资来加强资产负债表。但很明显,我们应该仔细考虑它是否能够在不稀释股权的情况下管理债务。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

为了对公司的债务相对于其收益进行规模适应,我们计算其净债务与利息、税、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)之比及其税前收益(EBIT)与利息支出之比(利息保障倍数)。因此,我们既考虑到不包括折旧和摊销费用在内的收益,又包括折旧和摊销费用的收益相对于债务。

Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 0.68 and interest cover of 3.2 times, it seems to us that Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. Importantly, Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings grew its EBIT by 32% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

从其净债务与息税前利润(EBITDA)之比为0.68,利息覆盖倍数为3.2倍来看,我们认为美年健康可能在负债方面使用得很合理。但利息支付肯定足以让我们思考其债务是否可负担得起。重要的是,美年健康过去12个月净利润增长了32%,这种增长将使其更容易处理债务。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但与一切相比,未来的盈利将决定美年健康维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您关注未来,您可以查看这份免费报告,其中包含分析师的盈利预测。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

最后,公司只能用现金偿还债务,而不能用会计利润。因此,逻辑上应该看看实际自由现金流与EBIt之间的比例。令股东欣喜的是,美年健康在过去三年的自由现金流实际上超过了EBIt。对于借贷人来说,没有比进账现金更好的了。

Our View

我们的观点

Happily, Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its interest cover. We would also note that Healthcare industry companies like Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings commonly do use debt without problems. Looking at the bigger picture, we think Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings's earnings per share history for free.

值得欣慰的是,美年健康将EBIt转化为自由现金流的卓越能力意味着它在债务方面占据上风。但更令人担忧的是,我们对它的利息覆盖率有些担忧。我们还要注意,像美年健康这样的医疗保健行业公司通常在没有问题的情况下使用债务。从更大的角度来看,我们认为美年健康对债务的使用似乎相当合理,我们对此并不担心。毕竟,明智的杠杆可以提高股东权益回报率。在其他大多数指标之上,我们认为追踪每股收益的增长速度很重要,是否有增长。如果您也意识到了这一点,那么恭喜您,因为今天您可以免费查看美年健康的每股收益历史的交互式图表。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

归根结底,专注于没有净债务的公司往往更好。您可以访问我们的特别列表,其中包括所有表现出盈利增长轨迹的公司。这是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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