The Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development Co., Ltd (SHSE:600193) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 27%. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 52% share price decline.
Even after such a large drop in price, given around half the companies in China's Metals and Mining industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.1x, you may still consider Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development as a stock to avoid entirely with its 11.6x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Has Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development Performed Recently?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development's Revenue Growth Trending?
Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 58%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 92% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 13% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development's P/S
Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development (1 is a bit concerning!) that you need to take into consideration.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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