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Could The Market Be Wrong About China Merchants Energy Shipping Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601872) Given Its Attractive Financial Prospects?

Could The Market Be Wrong About China Merchants Energy Shipping Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601872) Given Its Attractive Financial Prospects?

市场是否对招商轮船(SHSE:601872)的良好财务前景判断错误?
Simply Wall St ·  09/13 20:13

China Merchants Energy Shipping (SHSE:601872) has had a rough three months with its share price down 24%. But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to China Merchants Energy Shipping's ROE today.

中国远洋能源运输(SHSE:601872)的股价在过去三个月中下跌了24%。但如果您仔细观察,您可能会发现其强大的财务状况意味着该股票在长期内可能会看到增值,因为市场通常会奖励财务状况良好的公司。特别是,我们将关注中国远洋能源运输的roe今天。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股东权益回报率ROE是测试公司增值能力和管理股东投资的有效性的指标。更简单地说,它衡量公司在股东权益中的盈利能力。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股东权益报酬率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

净资产收益率可以使用以下公式进行计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China Merchants Energy Shipping is:

所以,根据上述公式,招商轮船的roe为:

12% = CN¥4.7b ÷ CN¥38b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

12% = CN¥47亿 ÷ CN¥380亿(根据截至2024年6月的过去十二个月)

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.12.

“回报”是企业在过去一年所赚取的收益。 这意味着,对于每个股东投资的1元人民币,公司可以创造0.12元人民币的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

ROE与盈利增长之间的关系是什么?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到roe是公司盈利能力的一种衡量标准。根据公司选择重新投资或“留存”的利润比例,我们能够评估公司未来产生利润的能力。其他条件不变的情况下,roe和盈利留存越高,相较于不具备这些特征的公司,企业的增长率越高。

A Side By Side comparison of China Merchants Energy Shipping's Earnings Growth And 12% ROE

招商轮船的盈利增长和12%的roe的对比

To start with, China Merchants Energy Shipping's ROE looks acceptable. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 9.6% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. This probably laid the ground for China Merchants Energy Shipping's moderate 18% net income growth seen over the past five years.

首先,招商轮船的roe看起来还可以。与行业平均roe 9.6%相比,公司的roe看起来相当显著。这可能为招商轮船过去五年的18%净利润增长奠定了基础。

We then performed a comparison between China Merchants Energy Shipping's net income growth with the industry, which revealed that the company's growth is similar to the average industry growth of 19% in the same 5-year period.

然后我们对比了招商轮船的净利润增长与行业,发现公司的增长与同一5年期间行业平均增长19%相似。

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SHSE:601872 Past Earnings Growth September 14th 2024
SHSE:601872过去盈利增长2024年9月14日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is China Merchants Energy Shipping fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

对于一家公司来说,价格的基础很大程度上与其盈利增长有关。投资者需要知道市场是否已经将公司的预期盈利增长(或下降)计入价格。通过这样做,他们将了解股票是朝着明朗的天空前进,还是即将陷入泥泞的水域。招商轮船相对于其他公司是否被公平定价?这3个估值指标可能会帮助你做出决策。

Is China Merchants Energy Shipping Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

招商轮船有效利用其留存收益吗?

China Merchants Energy Shipping has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 32% (or a retention ratio of 68%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

招商轮船拥有适度的三年中位数派息比率为32%(留存比率为68%)和可观的盈利增长,这意味着该公司一直在有效利用其利润。

Additionally, China Merchants Energy Shipping has paid dividends over a period of nine years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 38%. Still, forecasts suggest that China Merchants Energy Shipping's future ROE will rise to 16% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

此外,招商轮船在过去九年中支付了股息,这意味着该公司非常重视与股东分享利润。根据最新的分析师估计,我们发现该公司未来三年的派息比率预计将稳定在38%。然而,预测表明,招商轮船未来的roe将升至16%,尽管其派息比率预计变化不大。

Summary

总的来说,我们对伟明环保的表现非常满意。具体而言,我们喜欢公司以高回报率再投资了其利润的很大一部分。当然,这导致公司的收益大幅增长。但是,最新的行业分析师预测表明,该公司的收益预计将加速增长。

In total, we are pretty happy with China Merchants Energy Shipping's performance. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a sizeable growth in its earnings. The latest industry analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to maintain its current growth rate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

总体而言,我们对招商轮船的表现非常满意。特别是,公司大力投资于其业务,并且以较高的回报率带来了可观的盈利增长。最新的行业分析师预测显示,公司有望保持其当前的增长率。要了解更多关于公司最新分析师预测的信息,请查看此公司的分析师预测可视化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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