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Dropbox (NASDAQ:DBX) Adds US$485m to Market Cap in the Past 7 Days, Though Investors From Three Years Ago Are Still Down 20%

Dropbox (NASDAQ:DBX) Adds US$485m to Market Cap in the Past 7 Days, Though Investors From Three Years Ago Are Still Down 20%

过去7天,dropbox(纳斯达克: DBX)的市值增加了48500万美元,然而三年前的投资者仍然亏损了20%。
Simply Wall St ·  09/14 10:05

Dropbox, Inc. (NASDAQ:DBX) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 16% in the last quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years have been less than pleasing. Truth be told the share price declined 20% in three years and that return, Dear Reader, falls short of what you could have got from passive investing with an index fund.

dropbox公司(纳斯达克:DBX)的股东应该对股价在上一季度上涨16%感到高兴。但事实并没有改变在过去三年里的回报较低这一事实。说真的,股价在三年内下跌了20%,而这样的回报,亲爱的读者,与您通过指数基金进行被动投资所能获得的回报相比是不足的。

While the last three years has been tough for Dropbox shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

虽然过去三年对于Dropbox的股东来说是艰难的,但过去一周显示出了一些希望的迹象。因此,让我们来看看更长期的基本面,看看它们是否成为负回报的驱动因素。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

尽管市场是一个强大的价格机制,但股票价格反映的不仅是潜在业务绩效,还反映了投资者的情绪。 了解市场情绪随时间的变化的一种方法是查看公司的股价与每股收益(EPS)之间的互动。

During five years of share price growth, Dropbox moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. So given the share price is down it's worth checking some other metrics too.

在五年的股价增长中,Dropbox从亏损转为盈利。这通常被认为是一个积极的因素,所以我们对股价下跌感到惊讶。鉴于股价下跌,检查一些其他指标也是值得的。

Revenue is actually up 7.3% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. It's probably worth investigating Dropbox further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.

营业收入在过去三年实际上增长了7.3%,因此股价下跌似乎并不取决于营业收入。可能值得进一步调查Dropbox;虽然在这个分析中可能我们忽略了什么,但也许存在机会。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

以下图像显示了公司的营业收入和盈利(随时间变化)(单击以查看准确的数字)。

big
NasdaqGS:DBX Earnings and Revenue Growth September 14th 2024
纳斯达克GS:dropbox营收和收入增长2024年9月14日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Dropbox will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).

我们很高兴地报告,CEO的薪酬比同等资本的大多数CEO要适度。关注CEO的薪酬总是值得的,但更重要的问题是公司是否能够在未来实现盈利增长。因此,查看分析师对dropbox未来盈利的预测是非常有意义的(免费的利润预测)。

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

While the broader market gained around 26% in the last year, Dropbox shareholders lost 8.8%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 3% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Dropbox (at least 2 which are concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

尽管整个市场在过去一年大约增长了26%,但dropbox的股东们却损失了8.8%。即使好股票的股价有时也会下跌,但我们希望在产业的基本指标出现改善之前,不要过于感兴趣。而长期股东则赚了钱,半个十年年均收益率为3%。最近的抛售可能是一个机会,因此值得检查基本数据,寻找长期增长趋势的迹象。尽管考虑市场状况可能对股价造成的不同影响非常重要,但还有其他更重要的因素。例如,投资风险这个永恒存在的威胁。我们已经确定了dropbox的4个警示信号(至少有2个令人担忧),了解它们应该成为你的投资流程的一部分。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果您愿意查看另一家公司(具有潜在的更好财务状况),请不要错过这个免费的公司列表,证明它们可以增长收益。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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