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Is Yonyou Network TechnologyLtd (SHSE:600588) A Risky Investment?

Is Yonyou Network TechnologyLtd (SHSE:600588) A Risky Investment?

Yonyou网络科技有限公司(SHSE:600588)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  09/15 23:08

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Yonyou Network Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600588) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

伯克希尔·哈撒韦股东查理·芒格背书的外部基金经理盖章认为“最大的投资风险不是价格波动性,而是你是否会遭受资本永久损失。”当我们思考一个公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢看它的债务使用情况,因为债务过重可能导致灭亡。我们注意到,用友网络科技股份有限公司(SHSE:600588)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这些债务产生了多大风险?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的一种工具,但如果企业无法偿还其债权人,则存在于其债权人的掌控中。资本主义的一部分是“创造性破坏”过程,即失败的企业会被无情地清算。然而,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东权益,以控制债务。然而,通过取代股权稀释,债务可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的极好工具。当我们思考一个公司对债务的使用时,我们首先看现金和债务的总体情况。

What Is Yonyou Network TechnologyLtd's Net Debt?

元祖网络科技有限公司的净债务是多少?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Yonyou Network TechnologyLtd had CN¥6.15b in debt in June 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it also had CN¥5.25b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥901.0m.

下面的图表(点击可放大查看)显示,2024年6月,元祖网络科技有限公司的债务为61.5亿元,和一年前差不多。然而,它也持有52.5亿现金,因此其净债务为9010万。

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SHSE:600588 Debt to Equity History September 16th 2024
SHSE:600588资产负债比历史数据2024年9月16日

How Healthy Is Yonyou Network TechnologyLtd's Balance Sheet?

用友网络技术有限公司的资产负债表健康程度如何?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Yonyou Network TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥10.0b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥2.73b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥5.25b and CN¥4.04b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥3.49b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

从最新的资产负债表数据来看,用友网络技术有限公司在12个月内应付的负债为100亿元,而超过12个月到期的负债为27.3亿元。 另一方面,该公司拥有52.5亿元现金和40.4亿元应于一年内到期的应收账款。 因此,其负债合计高达34.9亿元,超过了其现金和近期应收账款的总和。

Given Yonyou Network TechnologyLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥29.4b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Yonyou Network TechnologyLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

鉴于用友网络技术有限公司的市值为294亿元,很难相信这些负债会带来太大的威胁。 但是,有足够的负债使我们必须建议股东继续关注资产负债表的情况。 在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是明显的起点。 但是,与任何事情相比,未来的收益将决定用友网络技术有限公司能否保持健康的资产负债表。 因此,如果您想了解专业人士的意见,您可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

In the last year Yonyou Network TechnologyLtd wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 13%, to CN¥10b. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

去年,用友网络技术有限公司的EBIt水平并没有实现盈利,但其营业收入增长了13%,达到100亿元。 我们通常希望看到亏损公司的增长速度更快,但每个人有自己的选择。

Caveat Emptor

买方自负。

Importantly, Yonyou Network TechnologyLtd had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost CN¥861m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥2.2b in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. When we look at a riskier company, we like to check how their profits (or losses) are trending over time. Today, we're providing readers this interactive graph showing how Yonyou Network TechnologyLtd's profit, revenue, and operating cashflow have changed over the last few years.

重要的是,用友网络技术有限公司在过去一年中的利息和税前利润(EBIT)亏损。 事实上,它在EBIt水平上亏损了8610万元。 考虑到上述负债,我们并不认为公司应该使用这么多的债务,这让我们对其资产负债表的状况没有太多信心。 坦率地说,我们认为这份资产负债表离完全匹配还有很大差距,尽管随着时间的推移可以改善。 另一个值得谨慎的原因是,公司在过去十二个月里的自由现金流为负的金额达到了22亿元。 简而言之,这是一只非常高风险的股票。 当我们观察一个风险较高的公司时,我们喜欢查看他们的利润(或亏损)在一段时间内的趋势。 今天,我们为读者提供了这个互动图表,展示了用友网络技术有限公司的利润、营业收入和经营现金流量在过去几年中的变化。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

归根结底,专注于没有净债务的公司往往更好。您可以访问我们的特别列表,其中包括所有表现出盈利增长轨迹的公司。这是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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