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Is Stepan Company's (NYSE:SCL) Stock Price Struggling As A Result Of Its Mixed Financials?

Is Stepan Company's (NYSE:SCL) Stock Price Struggling As A Result Of Its Mixed Financials?

史提宾公司(纽交所:SCL)的股票价格是否因其财务状况参差不齐而受到压力?
Simply Wall St ·  09/17 07:23

With its stock down 11% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Stepan (NYSE:SCL). We, however decided to study the company's financials to determine if they have got anything to do with the price decline. Stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, and therefore we decided to pay more attention to the company's financial performance. In this article, we decided to focus on Stepan's ROE.

股价在过去三个月下跌了11%,很容易忽视史提宾(纽交所:SCL)。然而,我们决定研究该公司的财务状况,以确定它们与股价下跌是否有关。股价通常受公司长期财务表现的影响,因此我们决定更加关注公司的财务表现。在本文中,我们决定着重关注史提宾的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

ROE(净资产收益率)是股东需考虑的一个重要因素,因为它告诉他们资本被有效地再投资的效果如何。换句话说,它揭示了公司将股东的投资转化为利润的成功程度。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎样计算ROE?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Stepan is:

因此,根据上述公式,Stepan的ROE为:

2.9% = US$35m ÷ US$1.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

2.9% = 3.5亿美元 ÷ 120亿美元(根据2024年6月未来十二个月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every $1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated $0.03 in profit.

“回报”是企业在过去一年中所获得的收入。这意味着对于每1美元的股东权益,该公司创造了0.03美元的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE为什么对净利润增长很重要?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到ROE衡量了公司创造利润的效率。现在我们需要评估公司为未来增长“保留”的利润量,然后我们就能了解公司的增长潜力。如果一切都相等,那么ROE和利润保留都更高的公司通常比没有这些特征的公司增长率更高。

Stepan's Earnings Growth And 2.9% ROE

史提宾的盈利增长和2.9%的roe

It is quite clear that Stepan's ROE is rather low. Even when compared to the industry average of 9.6%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 10% seen by Stepan was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

很明显,史提宾的roe相当低。即使与行业平均水平相比,roe的数字也令人失望。因此,可以说史提宾五年净利润下降10%可能是其roe较低所导致的。我们相信还可能有其他方面对公司的盈利前景产生了负面影响。例如,公司的股利支付比率很高,或者面临竞争压力。

So, as a next step, we compared Stepan's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 13% over the last few years.

因此,作为下一步,我们将史提宾的业绩与行业进行了比较,并发现令人失望的是,尽管公司的盈利在萎缩,但行业在过去几年中的盈利增长率为13%。

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NYSE:SCL Past Earnings Growth September 17th 2024
纽交所:scl过去的盈利增长2024年9月17日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Stepan's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

对于一家公司的估值,很大程度上取决于其盈利增长。投资者了解市场是否已经定价公司预期的盈利增长(或下降)对他们判断股票的未来走势非常重要。如果您想了解史提宾的估值,请查看其市盈率与行业相比的表现。

Is Stepan Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

史提宾是否有效利用了保留收益?

Stepan's low three-year median payout ratio of 21% (implying that it retains the remaining 79% of its profits) comes as a surprise when you pair it with the shrinking earnings. This typically shouldn't be the case when a company is retaining most of its earnings. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For instance, the business has faced some headwinds.

史提宾低三年中位数派息比率为21%(意味着保留了其79%的利润),当我们将其与萎缩的盈利相结合时,这令人惊讶。当一家公司保留了大部分利润时,通常不会这样。因此,可能还有其他因素阻碍了增长。例如,该业务面临了一些困难。

Moreover, Stepan has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,史提宾至少已连续十年支付股息,这表明管理层可能认为股东更喜欢分红而不是盈利增长。

Conclusion

结论

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Stepan can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总体而言,我们认为史提宾(Stepan)的表现可以有很多种解释。虽然公司有高比例的再投资,但低roe(见附注)意味着所有这些再投资对其股东没有带来任何好处,而且对盈利增长产生了负面影响。话虽如此,我们研究了最新的分析师预测,发现虽然公司过去曾经缩减过盈利,但分析师预计其未来的盈利将会增长。这些分析师的预期是基于行业的整体预期还是公司的基本面?点击此处进入公司的分析师预测页面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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