Is Gogoro (NASDAQ:GGR) A Risky Investment?
Is Gogoro (NASDAQ:GGR) A Risky Investment?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Gogoro Inc. (NASDAQ:GGR) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
霍华德·马克斯说得好,他说的不是担心股价的波动,而是 “永久损失的可能性是我担心的风险... 也是我认识的每位实际投资者所担心的风险。”当我们思考一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们注意到,Gogoro Inc.(纳斯达克股票代码:GGR)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
为什么债务会带来风险?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
当企业无法通过自由现金流或以诱人的价格筹集资金来轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债就会成为风险。资本主义的组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 过程,在这种过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。但是,更频繁(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。但是,通过取代稀释,对于需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业来说,债务可以成为一个非常好的工具。考虑公司的债务水平的第一步是同时考虑其现金和债务。
How Much Debt Does Gogoro Carry?
Gogoro 背负了多少债务?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Gogoro had US$392.0m of debt, up from US$366.9m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have US$196.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$195.1m.
如下所示,截至2024年6月底,Gogoro的债务为3.92亿美元,高于去年同期的3.669亿美元。点击图片查看更多细节。但是,它确实有1.969亿美元的现金抵消了这一点,净负债约为1.951亿美元。
How Strong Is Gogoro's Balance Sheet?
Gogoro 的资产负债表有多强?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Gogoro had liabilities of US$200.8m due within a year, and liabilities of US$365.9m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$196.9m in cash and US$20.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$349.3m.
最新的资产负债表数据显示,Gogoro的负债为2.08亿美元,之后到期的负债为3.659亿美元。与此相抵消的是,它有1.969亿美元的现金和2,050万美元的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款总额3.493亿美元。
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of US$276.8m, we think shareholders really should watch Gogoro's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Gogoro's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
鉴于这一赤字实际上高于公司2.768亿美元的市值,我们认为股东们确实应该关注Gogoro的债务水平,就像父母第一次看着孩子骑自行车一样。在公司必须迅速清理资产负债表的情况下,股东似乎可能会遭受大规模稀释。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,未来的收益比什么都重要,将决定Gogoro未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。
In the last year Gogoro had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 8.3%, to US$334m. That's not what we would hope to see.
去年,Gogoro在利息和税前出现亏损,实际上其收入减少了8.3%,至3.34亿美元。这不是我们希望看到的。
Caveat Emptor
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Gogoro produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost a very considerable US$93m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of US$43m over the last twelve months. That means it's on the risky side of things. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Gogoro is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
在过去的十二个月中,Gogoro产生了息税前收益(EBIT)亏损。事实上,在息税前利润水平上,它损失了9300万美元。考虑到这一点,除了上述负债外,我们还对公司感到紧张。它需要迅速改善其运营,我们才会对此感兴趣。尤其是因为它在过去十二个月中的自由现金流为负4300万美元。这意味着它站在危险的一面。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。请注意,Gogoro在我们的投资分析中显示了两个警告信号,您应该知道...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
毕竟,如果你对一家资产负债表坚如磐石的快速成长型公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金增长股票清单。
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。