Here's Why Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals (SHSE:603858) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
Here's Why Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals (SHSE:603858) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603858) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
由伯克希尔哈撒韦的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李录,在说到“最大的投资风险不是价格波动,而是资本是否会遭受永久性损失”时毫不隐瞒。当您检查一个公司风险时,考虑其资产负债表是很自然的,因为当一个企业破产时通常会涉及债务。和许多其他公司一样,步长制药使用了债务。但这些债务是否会担忧股东?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时有危险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般来说,只有当一家公司无法轻松偿还债务时,债务才会成为一个真正的问题,无论是通过增加资本还是利用自身的现金流。 如果情况变得非常糟糕,债权人可以接管业务。 然而,更常见的(但仍然代价高昂)情况是,一家公司必须以低廉的股价 dilute 股东,以便简单地控制债务。 当然,有很多公司使用债务来支持增长,而没有任何负面后果。 当我们考虑一家公司的债务使用时,我们首先查看现金和债务。
What Is Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals's Net Debt?
山东步长制药的净债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals had CN¥3.80b of debt, an increase on CN¥3.21b, over one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.61b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥2.19b.
您可以点击下方的图表查看历史数据,但截至2024年6月,山东步长制药的债务为38亿人民币,较一年前的32.1亿人民币增加。另一方面,它有16.1亿人民币现金,导致约21.9亿人民币的净债务。
A Look At Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals' Liabilities
看看步长制药的负债
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals had liabilities of CN¥6.34b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥3.39b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.61b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.44b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥6.67b.
放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,步长制药有630亿人民币的负债在12个月内到期,以及339亿人民币的负债超过该时期。 抵消这些义务,其现金为161亿人民币,应收账款为144亿人民币,在12个月内到期。 因此,其负债超过现金和(短期)应收账款的总和677亿人民币。
This deficit isn't so bad because Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals is worth CN¥15.9b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
这个赤字并不太糟糕,因为步长制药的市值为159亿人民币,因此如果有需要,可能可以筹集足够的资本来支撑其资产负债表。 但是,仍然值得密切关注其偿还债务的能力。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
我们使用两个主要的比率来告诉我们相对于收益的债务水平。第一个是净债务除以利息、税、折旧和摊销前利润(EBITDA),而第二个是其利润前利息和税(EBIT)覆盖其利息费用的次数(或其利息覆盖率,简称)。因此,我们考虑与折旧和摊销费用相关的盈利以及没有相关费用的盈利相对于债务水平。
Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals has net debt worth 2.3 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 5.4 times the interest expense. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. Shareholders should be aware that Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals's EBIT was down 63% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
步长制药的净债务相当于EBITDA的2.3倍,并不算太多,但其利息保障看起来有点偏低,EBIt仅为利息支出的5.4倍。 虽然这并没有让我们太担忧,但确实暗示着利息支付在某种程度上是一种负担。 股东应该知道,步长制药去年的EBIt减少了63%。 如果这种下降继续,那么偿还债务将比在纯素食者大会上销售鹅肝更为困难。 毫无疑问,我们对债务的了解大部分来自资产负债表。 但是,在未来,步长制药的收入将影响资产负债表的表现。 因此,如果您渴望了解更多关于其收入的信息,可能值得查看其长期收入趋势的图表。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 64% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
最后,虽然税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但放贷人只接受冰冷的现金。 因此,值得检查EBIt有多少是由自由现金流支持的。 在过去三年中,步长制药生产的稳健自由现金流相当于其EBIt的64%,大约符合我们的预期。 这笔冰冷的现金意味着它可以在需要时减少债务。
Our View
我们的观点
Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. But on the bright side, its ability to to convert EBIT to free cash flow isn't too shabby at all. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals you should be aware of.
步长制药的EBIt增长率在这次分析中确实是一个真正的负面因素,尽管我们考虑的其他因素使其看起来更有优势。但从好的一面来看,它将EBIt转换为自由现金流的能力却一点也不差。当我们考虑所有讨论过的因素时,我们觉得步长制药正在使用债务时存在一些风险。因此,尽管这种杠杆确实提高了股东权益回报率,但我们实际上并不希望看到它从这里增加。资产负债表显然是在分析债务时要重点关注的领域。但最终,每家公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。举一个例子:我们已经发现了步长制药存在2个警示信号,你应该注意。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
说到底,有时候更容易集中精力关注根本不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费访问零净债务增长股票列表。
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