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Hubbell (NYSE:HUBB) Jumps 8.2% This Week, Though Earnings Growth Is Still Tracking Behind Five-year Shareholder Returns

Hubbell (NYSE:HUBB) Jumps 8.2% This Week, Though Earnings Growth Is Still Tracking Behind Five-year Shareholder Returns

哈勃集团(纽交所:HUBB)本周上涨8.2%,尽管盈利增长仍落后于五年股东回报
Simply Wall St ·  09/18 08:52

When you buy a stock there is always a possibility that it could drop 100%. But on the bright side, if you buy shares in a high quality company at the right price, you can gain well over 100%. One great example is Hubbell Incorporated (NYSE:HUBB) which saw its share price drive 210% higher over five years. In more good news, the share price has risen 10% in thirty days.

当你购买股票时,总是有可能跌幅达到100%。但是好消息是,如果你以正确的价格购买高质量公司的股份,你可以获得超过100%的收益。一个很好的例子是哈勃集团(NYSE:HUBB),其股价在过去五年里上涨了210%。更好的消息是,股价在30天内上涨了10%。

Since the stock has added US$1.7b to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.

由于该股票在过去的一周内市值增加了17亿美元,让我们看看其潜在的表现是否推动了长期回报。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

引用巴菲特的话:“船只将周游世界,而‘地平派’仍会兴旺。市场上的价格和价值仍会存在广泛的差距……”考虑一家公司在市场上的认知如何变化的一个不完美但简单的方法是比较每股收益(EPS)的变化和股价的波动。

During five years of share price growth, Hubbell achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 15% per year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 25% per year, over the same period. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth.

在股价增长的五年中,哈勃集团实现了每股收益(EPS)的复合年增长率达到15%。这一每股收益增长速度比同期的股价增长速度慢。因此,可以合理地认为市场对该公司的评价比五年前更高。考虑到过去五年的盈利增长记录,这并不令人意外。

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下面的图片中查看每股收益如何随时间变化(单击图表以查看确切的价值)。

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NYSE:HUBB Earnings Per Share Growth September 18th 2024
纽交所:哈勃每股收益增长2024年9月18日

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Hubbell's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

我们喜欢内部人士在过去十二个月中购买股票。话虽如此,大多数人认为收益和营业收入增长趋势在业务中更有意义。通过查看哈勃的收益、营业收入和现金流的互动图表,深入了解收益情况。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Hubbell the TSR over the last 5 years was 243%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股价回报,投资者还应考虑股东总回报(TSR)。而股价回报仅反映股价变化,TSR则包括分红派息价值(假设其被再投资)以及任何折价的资本募集或剥离的好处。可以说,TSR更全面地展示了股票产生的回报图景。我们注意到,哈勃在过去5年的TSR为243%,优于上述股价回报。毫无疑问,分红支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧!

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

It's nice to see that Hubbell shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 33% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 28% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Hubbell .

很高兴看到哈勃股东在过去一年中获得了33%的股东总回报。这已经包括了分红派息。这比过去半个世纪年化回报率28%要好,这意味着公司近期表现更佳。鉴于股价势头仍然强劲,值得更仔细地研究这只股票,以免错失机会。我发现长期来看股价作为业务表现的一种替代指标非常有趣。但要真正获得洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。为此,您应该注意到我们发现的哈勃的1个警示信号。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: most of them are flying under the radar).

如果您喜欢与管理层共同购买股票,那么您可能会喜欢这个免费的公司列表(提示:大多数公司没有受到关注)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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