20 S&P 500 Stocks That Move The Most When The Fed Starts Cutting Interest Rates
20 S&P 500 Stocks That Move The Most When The Fed Starts Cutting Interest Rates
Conversely, a 25-basis-point cut might disappoint investors who are betting on a more aggressive measure.Investors are on edge in the lead-up to the Wednesday Federal Open Market Committee interest rate decision that is expected to deliver the first cut to the federal funds rate in over four years.
市场参与者对即将到来的周三美联储公开市场委员会利率决策感到紧张，预计将迎来四年多来的首次降息。
The market is divided on the magnitude of the anticipated rate cut. Traders are assigning a 59% probability to a 50-basis-point cut, while a 41% chance is placed on a more modest 25-basis-point reduction. The size of the rate cut is crucial as it could trigger significant market reactions.
市场对预期降息的幅度存在分歧。交易员给50个基点降息的概率为59％，而对25个基点较为温和的降幅投入了41％的机会。利率降幅的大小至关重要，因为它可能引发重大的市场反应。
Should the Fed opt for a 50-basis-point cut, it may be perceived as an acknowledgment that interest rates are overly restrictive. This could lead to increased expectations for further rate cuts in the coming months, potentially fueling risk sentiment and driving stock prices higher.
如果美联储选择50个基点的降息，可能会被视为对利率过于紧缩的认可。这可能会导致人们对未来几个月进一步降息的预期增加，潜在地推动风险情绪并推动股票价格上涨。
Conversely, a 25-basis-point cut might disappoint investors who are betting on a more aggressive measure.
相反，25个基点的降息可能会让那些押注更激进措施的投资者感到失望。
Since the start of 2022, the S&P 500, tracked by the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY), has experienced an average move of plus or minus 1.3% during FOMC events, reflecting the market's high sensitivity to Fed policy decisions.
自2022年年初以来，由纽交所上市的SPDR标普500ETF信托基金（NYSE:SPY）跟踪的标普500指数在FOMC事件期间经历了平均正负1.3％的波动，反映了市场对美联储政策决策的高度敏感性。
Goldman Sachs equity analysts, including John Marshall, analyzed stock movements during the first rate cuts in the previous three Fed easing cycles (Sept. 18, 2007, July 31, 2019 and March 3, 2020).
高盛的股票分析师，包括约翰·马歇尔，分析了过去三次美联储宽松周期（2007年9月18日，2019年7月31日和2020年3月3日）的第一次降息期间的股票走势。
The data highlights the average moves of several key S&P 500 stocks with liquid options during these periods.
数据突出了这些时期流动性期权的若干重要标普500股票的平均波动。
| Rank | Name | Absolute Average Move |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caesars Entertainment Inc (NASDAQ:CZR) | 5.9% |
| 2 | Nvidia Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA) | 5.5% |
| 3 | Capital One Financial Corp (NYSE:COF) | 4.6% |
| 4 | Charles Schwab Corp (NYSE:SCHW) | 4.6% |
| 5 | Mastercard Inc (NYSE:MA) | 4.5% |
| 6 | Fortinet Inc (NASDAQ:FTNT) | 4.3% |
| 7 | Marriott International (NASDAQ:MAR) | 4.2% |
| 8 | American Express Co (NYSE:AXP) | 3.8% |
| 9 | Newmont Corp (NYSE:NEM) | 3.7% |
| 10 | Deere & Co (NYSE:DE) | 3.6% |
| 11 | BlackRock Inc (NYSE:BLK) | 3.6% |
| 12 | Texas Instruments Inc (NASDAQ:TXN) | 3.5% |
| 13 | 3M Co (NYSE:MMM) | 3.3% |
| 14 | Bank of America Corp (NYSE:BAC) | 3.2% |
| 15 | JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE:JPM) | 3.2% |
| 16 | Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL) | 3.0% |
| 17 | Abbott Laboratories (NYSE:ABT) | 3.0% |
| 18 | Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:SBUX) | 2.9% |
| 19 | Visa Inc (NYSE:V) | 2.7% |
| 20 | Verizon Communications Inc (NYSE:VZ) | 2.3% |
| 排名 | 姓名 | 绝对平均移动 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 凯撒娱乐股份有限公司 (纳斯达克:CZR) | 5.9% |
| 2 | 英伟达公司（NASDAQ:NVDA） | 5.5% |
| 3 | Capital One Financial Corp (纽交所:COF) | 4.6% |
| 4 | Charles Schwab Corp (纽交所:SCHW) | 4.6% |
| 5 | Mastercard Inc (纽交所:MA) | 4.5% |
| 6 | 飞塔信息公司（纳斯达克：FTNT） | 4.3% |
| 7 | 万豪国际（纳斯达克:MAR） | 4.2% |
| 8 | 美国运通公司（纽交所：AXP） | 3.8% |
| 9 | 新蒙特公司（纽交所：NEM） | 3.7% |
| 10 | 迪尔股份（纽交所：DE） | 3.6% |
| 11 | 黑石集团股份有限公司（纽约证券交易所：BLK） | 3.6% |
| 12 | 德州仪器公司（纳斯达克：TXN） | 3.5% |
| 13 | 300万合作公司（纽约证券交易所：MMM） | 3.3% |
| 14 | 美国银行股票(NYSE:BAC) | 3.2% |
| 15 | 摩根大通银行（NYSE:JPM） | 3.2% |
| 16 | 甲骨文公司 (纽交所:ORCL) | 3.0% |
| 17 | 雅培（纽交所：ABT） | 3.0% |
| 18 | 星巴克公司（纳斯达克:SBUX） | 2.9% |
| 19 | 维萨公司 (纽交所:V) | 2.7% |
| 20 | 威瑞森通信公司 (纽交所:VZ) | 2.3% |
- 10 ETFs Investors Secretly Bought Before The Fed's Make-Or-Break Interest Rate Call
- 投资者在央行的决定性利率看涨之前秘密购买的10个ETFs
Federal Reserve illustration created using artificial intelligence via MidJourney.
采用人工智能通过MidJourney创建的联邦储备委员会图示。
