CBA or NAB Shares: Which ASX Bank Stock Is the Better Buy?
CBA or NAB Shares: Which ASX Bank Stock Is the Better Buy?
$CommBank (CBA.AU)$ and N $National Australia Bank Ltd (NAB.AU)$ hares have both produced strong gains for investors this year.
$CommBank (CBA.AU)$ 和 N $National Australia Bank Ltd (NAB.AU)$ 今年,野兔和 N 都为投资者带来了强劲的收益。
Commonwealth Bank shares are currently trading at $143.32, up 26% so far this year, while National Australia Bank shares are up 28% and currently trade at $39.42.
澳洲共和银行的股票现价为143.32美元,今年迄今为止上涨了26%,而澳洲国民银行的股票上涨了28%,当前交易价为39.42美元。
With both bank stocks performing well this year, which one offers better value for investors? Let's see what the experts think.
由于两家银行股票今年表现良好,哪家股票为投资者提供更好的价值呢?让我们看看专家的观点。
First, the investment backdrop
首先,投资背景
The ASX 200 is dominated by two main sectors: banks and miners. As my colleague Tristan recently reported, this year, the bank sector has outshined the miners.
ASX 200指数由两个主要板块组成:银行和矿业。正如我的同事Tristan最近报道的,今年银行业表现超过了矿业。
But does that mean its time to invest in the banks for continued growth, or should investors consider switching to the beaten-up mining shares?
但这是否意味着现在是时候投资于银行以持续增长,还是投资者应考虑转向备受打击的矿业股?
Some fund managers think bank valuations have become stretched. $WAM Leaders Ltd (WLE.AU)$ recently pointed out that the banking majors are not delivering the earnings growth to justify their elevated valuations.
一些基金经理认为银行估值已经被拉伸。 $WAM Leaders Ltd (WLE.AU)$ 最近指出银行业巨头并未实现盈利增长,无法证明它们高估的价值。
The firm suggested that large institutions – such as superannuation funds – have been driving the buying spree in bank shares, possibly without enough attention to the value on offer.
该公司暗示,像养老金基金等大型机构一直在推动银行股的购买热潮,可能并没有足够的关注价值的付出。
It believes the market could see a turning point, with investors rapidly moving out of ASX bank shares and into mining stocks, which might cause "a rapid snapback."
它认为市场可能会出现转折点,投资者迅速转移ASX银行股到矿业股,这可能导致"急剧反弹"。
Compare and contrast: CBA vs NAB shares
比较与对比:CBA vs NAb股
National Australia Bank shares have long been favoured by income-focused investors here in Australia.
在澳大利亚,澳大利亚国民银行股长期被收入关注的投资者青睐。
According to CommSec, NAB is projected to deliver a dividend of $1.70 per share in FY25, implying a dividend yield of 4.3% at the current share price.
根据CommSec的预测,NAb在FY25年预计每股支付1.70美元的股息,在当前股价下意味着股息率为4.3%。
While this yield looks appealing, especially compared to term deposits, the bank's valuation has become a point of concern.
尽管这一股息率看起来很吸引人,特别是与定期存款相比,但银行的估值已成为一个令人担忧的焦点。
Its share price has risen significantly faster than its earnings, pushing its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio to 18 times.
其股价上涨速度明显快于盈利增长,推动其市盈率(P/E)比率达到18倍。
This is higher than its average P/E ratio over the past few years.
这高于过去几年的平均市盈率。
Rising arrears, falling net interest margins (NIMs), and competition in the lending market are potential headwinds that could challenge NAB's growth prospects.
不良贷款增加、净利差下降以及贷款市场竞争是可能挑战NAB增长前景的潜在阻力。
Meanwhile, Commonwealth Bank shares have surged in 2024.
与此同时,澳大利亚联邦银行股票在2024年大幅上涨。
The bank recently announced the activation of its AI Factory in collaboration with Amazon Web Services (AWS), aiming to accelerate its adoption of generative AI across its business.
该银行最近宣布与亚马逊网络服务(AWS)合作开发其人工智能工厂,旨在加速在业务中采用生成式人工智能。
The bank's focus on using AI for enhanced customer experiences and efficiencies in operations could drive cost savings in the long term – if successful.
该银行专注于利用人工智能提升客户体验和运营效率,如果成功的话,有望在长期内带来成本节约。
Furthermore, Commonwealth Bank's lending growth has been a key driver of its share price rise.
此外,澳大利亚联邦银行的贷款增长一直是其股价上涨的关键驱动因素。
The bank reported lending $39 billion to businesses and providing home financing to 120,000 households over the past year.
该银行在过去一年里向企业借款390亿美元,并向12万个家庭提供住房贷款。
With lending growth closely tied to bank share price performance, it could see continued momentum if this trend persists.
由于贷款增长与银行股价表现密切相关,如果这一趋势持续下去,它可能会保持持续的势头。
Which bank stock is the better buy?
哪家银行股票是更好的购买选择?
So, CBA or NAB shares—which is the better buy? Well, despite strong performance, analysts are not bullish on either stock.
那么,澳大利亚联邦银行(CBA)或澳新银行(NAB)的股票--哪个更值得购买?尽管表现强劲,但分析师对这两只股票都不看好。
Goldman Sachs, for instance, has a sell rating on both banks. It recently reiterated its $100.35 price target for CBA, implying a 30% downside.
例如,高盛对这两家银行都有卖出评级。它最近重申了对CBA的100.35美元的目标价,暗示下行30%。
Similarly, Goldman set a $34.24 target for NAB shares, suggesting a 13% drop from current levels.
同样,高盛给NAB的股票设定了34.24美元的目标价,暗示当前水平下跌13%。
Meanwhile, both shares are rated as a 'moderate sell' by the consensus of analyst estimates, according to CommSec.
与此同时,根据CommSec的分析师预估,这两只股票都被评为“中度卖出”。
In fact, no brokers recommend to buy Commonwealth Bank right now, whereas one says to buy National Australia Bank.
事实上,目前没有经纪人建议购买澳大利亚联邦银行股票,而有一家建议购买澳大利亚国民银行股票。
CBA and NAB shares takeaway
澳联银行和澳洲国民银行的股票情况
CBA and NAB shares have been stellar performers in 2024, but both face headwinds that could impact future growth.
澳联银行和澳洲国民银行的股票在2024年表现出色,但两者都面临可能影响未来增长的逆风。
Commonwealth Bank stock is up 40% in the last year, whereas National Australia Bank shares are up 33%.
澳大利亚联邦银行股价在过去一年上涨了40%,而澳大利亚国民银行股价上涨了33%。