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Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get Kerry Logistics Network (HKG:636) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Three Years

Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get Kerry Logistics Network (HKG:636) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Three Years

积极增长的收入并不足以让Kerry物流网络(HKG:636)的股东在过去三年获得良好的回报
Simply Wall St ·  09/19 22:37

This week we saw the Kerry Logistics Network Limited (HKG:636) share price climb by 13%. But that is small recompense for the exasperating returns over three years. In that time, the share price dropped 57%. So the improvement may be a real relief to some. Perhaps the company has turned over a new leaf.

本周,我们看到了Kerry 物流 网络有限公司(HKG:636)股价上涨了13%。 但对于过去三年来令人沮丧的回报来说,这只是微不足道的补偿。 在那段时间里,股价下跌了57%。 因此,这种改單可能真的是一种解脱对某些人来说。 或许公司已经翻开新篇章。

While the stock has risen 13% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.

虽然股票上周上涨了13%,但长期股东仍然处于亏损状态,让我们看看基本面能告诉我们什么。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

尽管一些人继续教授有效市场假说,但已经证明市场是过度反应的动态系统,并且投资者并不总是理性的。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价的变化情况,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度如何随着时间变化而变化。

Although the share price is down over three years, Kerry Logistics Network actually managed to grow EPS by 24% per year in that time. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.

尽管股价在过去三年下跌,但 Kerry 物流 网络实际上成功在此期间将每股收益提高了24%。 这是一个相当令人费解的情况,表明可能有一些暂时性因素支撑着股价。 或者公司过去被过度炒作,因此其增长令人失望。

It's worth taking a look at other metrics, because the EPS growth doesn't seem to match with the falling share price.

值得关注其他指标,因为EPS增长似乎与股价下跌不符。

We think that the revenue decline over three years, at a rate of 16% per year, probably had some shareholders looking to sell. After all, if revenue keeps shrinking, it may be difficult to find earnings growth in the future.

我们认为,营业收入连续三年以每年16%的速度下降,这可能导致一些股东想要出售股票。毕竟,如果营业收入持续萎缩,未来要找到盈利增长可能会很困难。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

以下图像显示了公司的营业收入和盈利(随时间变化)(单击以查看准确的数字)。

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SEHK:636 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 20th 2024
SEHK:636 2024年9月20日的盈利和营业收入增长

If you are thinking of buying or selling Kerry Logistics Network stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

如果您考虑买入或卖出Kerry物流网络股票,您应该查看这份免费的详细报告以了解其资产负债表。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Kerry Logistics Network's TSR for the last 3 years was -51%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

考虑到任何特定股票的总股东回报以及股价回报非常重要。 股价回报仅反映了股价的变化,而TSR包括分红的价值(假设它们被再投资)以及任何折扣的增资或剥离的好处。 可以说TSR为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的图片。 偶然,Kerry物流网络过去3年的TSR为-51%,超过先前提到的股价回报。 毫不奇怪,分红支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧!

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

It's good to see that Kerry Logistics Network has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 19% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 1.1%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Kerry Logistics Network better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Kerry Logistics Network that you should be aware of before investing here.

很高兴看到嘉里物流网络在过去十二个月里奖励股东们总股东回报率为19%。 当然,这包括了分红派息。 这种增长优于过去五年每年的TSR,为1.1%。因此似乎公司周围的情绪最近一直是积极的。 鉴于股价势头依然强劲,可能值得更仔细地研究这支股票,以免错失机会。 查看股价在较长时期内的表现总是很有趣。 但要更好地了解嘉里物流网络,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。 例如,我们发现了1个警告信号,你在投资之前应该了解嘉里物流网络。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

当然,您可能在其他地方找到一家出色的企业进行投资。因此,请查看我们预计将实现盈利增长的公司的免费列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了当前在香港证券交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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