Is Absci (NASDAQ:ABSI) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
Is Absci (NASDAQ:ABSI) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Absci Corporation (NASDAQ:ABSI) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
霍华德·马克斯曾经很好地表达了这一点,他说,与其担心股价的波动性,我更担心永久损失的可能性...我认识的每一个实际投资者都会担心。 当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢看看它的债务使用情况,因为债务超负荷可能导致灭亡。 重要的是,Absci Corporation(纳斯达克代码:ABSI)确实承担了债务。 但更重要的问题是:这些债务所带来的风险有多大?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
债务带来了什么风险?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
当一家企业无法通过自由现金流或者以有吸引力的价格筹集资金来轻松兑现其债务和其他负债时,这些债务和其他负债就会成为企业的风险。最坏的情况是,如果一家公司无法偿付其债权人的债务,就会破产。虽然这种情况并不太常见,但我们经常看到负债累累的企业因为债权人强迫它们以低价筹集资本而永久稀释股东的利益。当然,债务在企业中可以成为重要的工具,特别是在投资巨额的企业中。在考虑企业负债的情况下,我们首先要看现金和债务的总体情况。
What Is Absci's Debt?
Absci的债务是什么?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Absci had debt of US$6.25m at the end of June 2024, a reduction from US$9.52m over a year. But on the other hand it also has US$145.2m in cash, leading to a US$139.0m net cash position.
下面的图片,你可以点击放大查看,显示Absci在2024年6月底有625万美元的债务,相比一年前的952万美元有所减少。但另一方面,它还有1.452亿美元的现金,净现金余额为1.39亿美元。
How Strong Is Absci's Balance Sheet?
Absci的资产负债表如何?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Absci had liabilities of US$25.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$8.57m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$145.2m as well as receivables valued at US$44.0k due within 12 months. So it can boast US$111.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
放大最新资产负债表数据,我们可以看到Absci在12个月内有2550万美元的负债,超过这个期限有857万美元的负债。抵消这些负债,它有1.452亿美元的现金和4.4万美元的应收款项,这些款项在12个月内到期。所以它可以比总负债多拥有1.112亿美元的流动资产。
This excess liquidity suggests that Absci is taking a careful approach to debt. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Absci has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Absci can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
这种过剩的流动性表明Absci在债务管理上采取了谨慎的态度。因为它有很多资产,所以不太可能与借款人发生麻烦。简而言之,Absci拥有比债务更多的现金可以安全地管理债务,这可以算得上是一个好的指标。当你分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的领域。但最终,企业的未来盈利能力将决定Absci能否增强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想了解专业人士的看法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有意思。
In the last year Absci had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 62%, to US$3.3m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
在过去的一年里,Absci在利息和税前亏损,并且其营业收入实际上减少了62%,降至330万美元。坦率地说,这并不好。
So How Risky Is Absci?
Absci有多大的风险?
By their very nature companies that are losing money are more risky than those with a long history of profitability. And the fact is that over the last twelve months Absci lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of US$61m and booked a US$92m accounting loss. But at least it has US$139.0m on the balance sheet to spend on growth, near-term. Overall, its balance sheet doesn't seem overly risky, at the moment, but we're always cautious until we see the positive free cash flow. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Absci that you should be aware of.
从本质上讲,亏损的公司比长期盈利的公司更加风险。事实是,在过去的十二个月中,Absci在利息和税前收益(EBIT)线上亏损。在同期,它看到自由现金流出流量为6100万美元,并计入账面损失9200万美元。但至少它在资产负债表上拥有1.39亿美元可用于近期的增长。总体而言,目前来看,它的资产负债表似乎并不过于冒险,但我们总是保持谨慎,直到看到积极的自由现金流。资产负债表显然是需要关注的领域。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如,我们已经确定了Absci的4个预警信号,你应该注意。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
归根结底,专注于没有净债务的公司往往更好。您可以访问我们的特别列表,其中包括所有表现出盈利增长轨迹的公司。这是免费的。
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