When close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 9x, you may consider China BlueChemical Ltd. (HKG:3983) as an attractive investment with its 5.9x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, China BlueChemical's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think China BlueChemical's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like China BlueChemical's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 44%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 20% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 2.0% per year as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 12% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that China BlueChemical's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Final Word
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that China BlueChemical maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for China BlueChemical that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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