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Is Dian Diagnostics GroupLtd (SZSE:300244) A Risky Investment?

Is Dian Diagnostics GroupLtd (SZSE:300244) A Risky Investment?

Dian Diagnostics Group Ltd (SZSE:300244)是否是一项高风险投资?
Simply Wall St ·  09/20 19:18

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Dian Diagnostics Group Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300244) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

有人认为,作为投资者,考虑风险的最佳方式是波动性,而不是债务,但沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过'波动性远非风险的同义词。'因此,明智的资金似乎知道,债务(通常涉及破产)是评估公司风险程度时的一个非常重要因素。与许多其他公司一样,迪安诊断集团股份有限公司(SZSE:300244)利用了债务。但股东们应该担心其使用债务吗?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候负债才是一个问题?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

当一家公司无法通过自由现金流或以有吸引力的价格筹集资金来轻松履行债务时,债务和其他负债对于企业来说变得具有风险。 资本主义的重要组成部分是“创造性破坏”的过程,其中银行家无情地清算失败的企业。 然而,更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是公司必须以超低的价格发行股票,永久性地稀释股东,以巩固其资产负债表。 当然,债务可以成为企业的重要工具,尤其是在资本密集型企业中。 在考虑公司的债务水平时的第一步是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。

What Is Dian Diagnostics GroupLtd's Debt?

迪安诊断集团有限公司的债务是什么?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Dian Diagnostics GroupLtd had CN¥3.75b of debt in June 2024, down from CN¥4.76b, one year before. However, it does have CN¥2.18b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥1.57b.

您可以点击下方的图表查看历史数据,但显示迪安诊断集团有限公司在2024年6月的债务为人民币375亿,比一年前的476亿人民币有所减少。然而,它有218亿人民币的现金来抵消这笔债务,导致净债务约为157亿人民币。

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SZSE:300244 Debt to Equity History September 20th 2024
SZSE:300244 2024年9月20日的债务资本比历史记录

How Healthy Is Dian Diagnostics GroupLtd's Balance Sheet?

迪安诊断的资产负债表健康状况如何?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Dian Diagnostics GroupLtd had liabilities of CN¥5.04b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥2.68b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.18b and CN¥8.95b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥3.41b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

深入研究最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到迪安诊断有50.4亿人民币的短期负债,以及26.8亿人民币的长期负债。另一方面,公司有21.8亿人民币的现金和89.5亿人民币的一年内应收账款。因此,公司比总负债多拥有34.1亿人民币的流动资产。

This surplus liquidity suggests that Dian Diagnostics GroupLtd's balance sheet could take a hit just as well as Homer Simpson's head can take a punch. On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master.

这种多余的流动性表明迪安诊断的资产负债表可以承受打击,就像霍默·辛普森的头可以承受一击一样。从这个角度来看,债权人应该感到像黑带空手道大师的爱人一样安全。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

为了衡量公司相对于其收益的债务情况,我们计算其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)和其利息支出除以利息前收益(EBIT)的比例(其利息覆盖率)。这种方法的优点是,我们既考虑了债务的绝对量(净负债与 EBITDA),又考虑到了与该债务相关的实际利息支出(其利息覆盖率)。

While Dian Diagnostics GroupLtd has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 1.5, its interest cover seems weak, at 2.0. This does suggest the company is paying fairly high interest rates. In any case, it's safe to say the company has meaningful debt. Shareholders should be aware that Dian Diagnostics GroupLtd's EBIT was down 66% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Dian Diagnostics GroupLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

尽管迪安诊断的净债务与税息折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)倍数为1.5,但其利息偿付倍数似乎偏弱,为2.0。这确实表明公司正在支付相当高的利率。无论如何,可以肯定地说公司有着有意义的债务。股东应该注意,迪安诊断去年的息前税前利润(EBIT)下降了66%。如果这种盈利趋势持续下去,那么偿还债务将如同把猫赶上过山车一样困难。毫无疑问,我们大多数关于债务的了解来自资产负债表。但未来的收入,胜过任何事情,将决定迪安诊断保持健康资产负债表的能力。所以,如果你专注未来,可以查看这份展示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Dian Diagnostics GroupLtd recorded free cash flow of 38% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

最后,一家企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润并不能解决问题。因此,值得核对公司息前税前利润(EBIT)中有多少由自由现金流支持。在过去三年中,迪安诊断的自由现金流占其息前税前利润(EBIT)的38%,这比我们预期的要弱。这在偿还债务时并不理想。

Our View

我们的观点

We weren't impressed with Dian Diagnostics GroupLtd's interest cover, and its EBIT growth rate made us cautious. But like a ballerina ending on a perfect pirouette, it has not trouble staying on top of its total liabilities. We would also note that Healthcare industry companies like Dian Diagnostics GroupLtd commonly do use debt without problems. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Dian Diagnostics GroupLtd is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Dian Diagnostics GroupLtd has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

我们对迪安诊断集团的利息覆盖率并不满意,而其EBIT增长率使我们感到谨慎。但就像一名芭蕾舞者以完美的红鞋旋转结束一样,它毫不费力地保持了对其总负债的控制。我们还应注意,像迪安诊断集团这样的医疗行业公司通常可以毫无问题地使用债务。当我们考虑以上提到的所有因素时,我们认为迪安诊断集团 Ltd 目前在管理债务方面做得相当不错。尽管如此,负担相当沉重,我们建议股东们密切关注情况。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表上了解债务最多。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中 - 远非如此。例如,迪安诊断集团 Ltd. 存在 1 个警示信号,我们认为您应该注意。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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