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Impressive Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Y. T. Realty Group (HKG:75)

Impressive Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Y. T. Realty Group (HKG:75)

令人印象深刻的收益可能不一定能揭示Y. t. Realty Group (HKG:75)的整个故事
Simply Wall St ·  09/20 19:29

Y. T. Realty Group Limited's (HKG:75) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.

Y.T. Realty Group Limited(HKG:75)的强劲收入报告未能推动股票市场。我们进行了一些调查,发现了一些令人担忧的细节因素。

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SEHK:75 Earnings and Revenue History September 20th 2024
SEHK:75 2024年9月20日的收入和营业历史数据

Zooming In On Y. T. Realty Group's Earnings

聚焦Y.T. Realty Group的收入

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

许多投资者没有听说过来自现金流的计提比率,但实际上它是衡量公司利润在给定期间内如何得到自由现金流(FCF)支持的有用指标。该计提比率从给定期间的FCF中减去利润,然后将结果除以该时期公司的平均运营资产。您可将来自现金流的计提比率视为“非FCF利润比率”。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,负净应计比率对公司来说是一个积极的因素,而正净应计比率则是一个消极因素。虽然净应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们认为,当一个公司的净应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,高净应计比率通常是短期利润的一个不良迹象。

For the year to June 2024, Y. T. Realty Group had an accrual ratio of 0.56. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of HK$1.2b despite its profit of HK$100.3m, mentioned above. It's worth noting that Y. T. Realty Group generated positive FCF of HK$1.5b a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part. One positive for Y. T. Realty Group shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.

截至2024年6月,Y.T. Realty Group的应计比率为0.56。一般来说,这对未来盈利并不乐观。换句话说,公司在这段时间内并没有产生自由现金流。在过去的12个月里,尽管利润为1.003亿港元,但实际上它的自由现金流是负的,流出了120亿港元。值得注意的是,Y.T. Realty Group在去年实际上有150亿港元的正自由现金流,所以至少他们过去做过。话虽如此,事情并不止如此。应计比率反映了在法定利润中不寻常项目的影响,至少部分地。对Y.T. Realty Group股东的一个正面因素是,去年它的应计比率要好得多,这意味着它可能会在未来实现更强大的现金转化。因此,一些股东可能在当前年度寻求更强大的现金转化。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Y. T. Realty Group.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的强度。单击此处转到我们对Y. t. Realty Group财务报表分析的页面。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

除了稀释之外,还应该注意的是,万集科技在过去12个月中因不寻常项目获得了价值人民币3.5万元的利润。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当这些不寻常项目对利润做出重大贡献时,我们会更加谨慎。我们对全球大部分上市公司的数据进行了分析,发现不寻常项目往往是一次性的。这正如我们所期望的那样,因为这些提升被描述为"不寻常"。相对于其利润而言,万集科技在2021年12月前的不寻常项目贡献大。因此,我们可以推断出,这些不寻常项目正在使其财务利润显著增强。

Unfortunately (in the short term) Y. T. Realty Group saw its profit reduced by unusual items worth HK$196m. If this was a non-cash charge, it would have made the accrual ratio better, if cashflow had stayed strong, so it's not great to see in combination with an uninspiring accrual ratio. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. If Y. T. Realty Group doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

不幸的是(短期内),Y. t. Realty Group的利润减少了价值为1.96亿港元的非凡项目。如果这是一个非现金费用,如果现金流保持强劲,这将改善应计比率,所以与令人失望的应计比率结合起来看,这并不是一个好消息。看到非凡项目导致公司利润减少从来不是什么好事,但好消息是,情况可能会在不久的将来得到改善。我们研究了数千家上市公司,并发现非凡项目往往是一次性的。考虑到这些项目被认为是非凡的,这并不令人意外。如果Y. t. Realty Group没有再次发生这些非凡的费用,其他条件不变,我们预期其利润在未来一年内将增加。

Our Take On Y. T. Realty Group's Profit Performance

我们对Y. t. Realty Group的利润表现的观点

In conclusion, Y. T. Realty Group's accrual ratio suggests that its statutory earnings are not backed by cash flow, even though unusual items weighed on profit. Based on these factors, we think it's very unlikely that Y. T. Realty Group's statutory profits make it seem much weaker than it is. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Y. T. Realty Group (3 can't be ignored) you should be familiar with.

综上所述,Y. t. Realty Group的应计比率表明其法定收益并没有得到现金流的支持,尽管非凡项目对利润产生了影响。根据这些因素,我们认为Y. t. Realty Group的法定利润很不可能使其看起来比实际更弱。因此,如果您想深入了解此股票,了解其面临的任何风险非常关键。例如,我们已经发现了Y. t. Realty Group的4个警示信号(其中3个不容忽视),您应该熟悉。

Our examination of Y. T. Realty Group has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

我们对Y. t. Realty Group的调查重点放在某些因素上,这些因素可能使其收益看起来比实际情况更好。但是,如果您能专注于细枝末节,总能发现更多。例如,许多人认为股东权益回报高是良好业务经济的指标,而其他人喜欢“跟随资金”并寻找内部人员正在购买的股票。虽然这可能需要一些您自己的研究,但您可能会发现这个带有高股东权益回报的公司的免费收藏,或者这个拥有重要内部持股的股票清单非常有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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