HK Asia Holdings Limited (HKG:1723) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 33% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. The annual gain comes to 109% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think HK Asia Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.9x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Hong Kong is similar at about 9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
HK Asia Holdings certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on HK Asia Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like HK Asia Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 277% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 38% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 21% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's curious that HK Asia Holdings' P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Final Word
Its shares have lifted substantially and now HK Asia Holdings' P/E is also back up to the market median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of HK Asia Holdings revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for HK Asia Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than HK Asia Holdings. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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有鉴于此,奇怪的是,Hk Asia Holdings的市盈率与其他大多数公司持平。看来大多数投资者都无视近期相当有限的增长率,愿意为股票敞口付出代价。如果市盈率降至更符合近期增长率的水平,他们可能会为未来的失望做好准备。
最后一句话
其股价已大幅上涨,现在Hk Asia Holdings的市盈率也已回升至市场中位数。通常,在做出投资决策时,我们谨慎行事,不要过多地解读市盈率,尽管这可以充分揭示其他市场参与者对公司的看法。
我们对Hk Asia Holdings的审查显示,其三年收益趋势对其市盈率的影响没有我们预期的那么大,因为这些趋势看起来比当前的市场预期还要糟糕。当我们看到收益疲软且增长慢于市场增长时,我们怀疑股价有下跌的风险,从而使温和的市盈率走低。如果最近的中期收益趋势持续下去,将使股东的投资面临风险,潜在投资者面临支付不必要的溢价的危险。