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We Think Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer (HKG:1066) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer (HKG:1066) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为山东威高股份医疗聚合物(HKG:1066)可以继续保持其债务优势
Simply Wall St ·  09/20 20:12

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer Company Limited (HKG:1066) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

有人说,作为投资者,更好地思考风险的方式是关注波动性而不是债务,但沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过'波动性与风险远非同义词'。当您评估一个公司的风险时,自然会考虑其资产负债表,因为债务在一个企业破产时通常会涉及。山东威高股份医疗聚合物公司(HKG:1066)和许多其他公司一样利用了债务。但这种债务是否会让股东担忧呢?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候负债才是一个问题?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

如果公司无法通过自由现金流或以优惠价格发行股票筹集资金,承担起债务和其他负债的风险就会显得更加严重。最坏的情况是,公司如果无法偿付债权人,可能会破产。然而,更普遍(但同样代价高昂)的情况是,公司不得不以极低价格发行股票,以此来支持其资产负债表。当然,许多公司使用债务来资助其增长,并未产生负面后果。在考虑公司的负债使用时,我们首先看现金和债务这两个指标。

What Is Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer's Net Debt?

山东威高股份医疗聚合物的净债务是多少?

As you can see below, Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer had CN¥4.00b of debt at June 2024, down from CN¥4.20b a year prior. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥7.87b in cash, so it actually has CN¥3.86b net cash.

正如下面所示,山东威高股份医疗聚合物在2024年6月时有40亿人民币的债务,比一年前的42亿人民币减少。然而,其资产负债表显示,该公司持有78.7亿人民币的现金,因此实际上有38.6亿人民币的净现金。

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SEHK:1066 Debt to Equity History September 21st 2024
SEHK:1066债务与权益历史数据截至2024年9月21日

How Healthy Is Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer's Balance Sheet?

山东威高股份医疗聚合物的资产负债表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer had liabilities of CN¥5.96b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥3.95b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥7.87b and CN¥8.00b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥5.95b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根据最近公布的资产负债表,山东威高集团医疗聚合物的短期负债为人民币596亿元,超过12个月到期的长期债务为人民币395亿元。 另一方面,其现金为人民币787亿元,一年内到期的应收账款为人民币800亿元。 实际上,其流动资产比总负债高595亿元。

This surplus strongly suggests that Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer has a rock-solid balance sheet (and the debt is of no concern whatsoever). With this in mind one could posit that its balance sheet means the company is able to handle some adversity. Succinctly put, Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

这一盈余强烈提示山东威高股份医疗聚合物有一个坚实的资产负债表(债务根本不成问题)。鉴于此,人们可以推断其资产负债表意味着该公司能够应对一些逆境。简言之,山东威高股份医疗聚合物拥有净现金,因此可以说它没有沉重的债务负担!

It is just as well that Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 24% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

山东威高股份医疗聚合物的负担并不太重,因为其上一年的EBIt下降了24%。收益下降(如果趋势持续)最终可能使即使是一丁点债务也具有相当风险。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解最多关于债务。但更重要的是,未来的收入,而不是其他任何事物,将决定山东威高股份医疗聚合物能否维持健康的资产负债表。因此,如果您想了解专业人士的看法,您可能会发现这份关于分析师盈利预测的免费报告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 60% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

但我们最后的考虑也很重要,因为公司不能用虚拟利润支付债务;它需要冷硬现金。山东威高股份医疗聚合物的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但观察企业将其息税前收入(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力以及效率情况同样令人感兴趣,因为这将影响到其管理债务的需求和能力。在过去三年中,山东威高股份医疗聚合物的自由现金流稳健,相当于其EBIt的60%,这正如我们所期望的。这份自由现金流使得公司有很好的位置来偿还债务,当需要时。

Summing Up

总之

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer has net cash of CN¥3.86b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't think Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

尽管我们对认为债务令人担忧的投资者表示同情,但您应该记住,山东威高股份医疗聚合物的净现金为38.6亿人民币,流动资产超过负债。因此,我们认为山东威高股份医疗聚合物的债务使用并不冒险。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中 - 远非如此。例如,山东威高股份医疗聚合物有1个警示标志,我们认为您应该注意。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

说到底,有时候更容易集中精力关注根本不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费访问零净债务增长股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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