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Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on Shanghai Belling Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600171) Current Share Price Momentum?

Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on Shanghai Belling Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600171) Current Share Price Momentum?

混合基本面是否会对上海贝岭股份有限公司(SHSE:600171)当前股价势头产生负面影响?
Simply Wall St ·  09/21 20:18

Most readers would already be aware that Shanghai Belling's (SHSE:600171) stock increased significantly by 12% over the past three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Shanghai Belling's ROE today.

大多数读者可能已经知道,上海贝岭(SHSE:600171)的股票在过去三个月内大幅增长了12%。但该公司的关键财务指标似乎在各个领域有所不同,这使我们对该公司当前的股价动能能否保持持怀疑。特别是,我们将关注上海贝岭(Shanghai Belling)的ROE今天。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

roe,即净资产收益率,是一种评估公司如何有效地从股东手中获取投资回报的有用工具。换句话说,它是一种盈利能力比率,衡量公司股东提供的资本的回报率。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股东权益报酬率?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Belling is:

所以,根据上述公式,上海贝岭的ROE为:

3.2% = CN¥134m ÷ CN¥4.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

3.2% = CN¥13400万 ÷ CN¥41亿(基于2024年6月的过去12个月).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.03.

“回报”是过去12个月的税后收益。这意味着,对于股东的每一元投资,该公司都会创造CN¥0.03的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

ROE与盈利增长之间的关系是什么?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前为止,我们已经了解了ROE是衡量公司盈利能力的一个指标。我们现在需要评估公司再投资或“保留”未来增长的利润量,以此给我们提供公司增长潜力的想法。假设其他所有因素保持不变,ROE和利润保留率越高,相比不具备这些特征的公司,这些公司的增长率就越高。

Shanghai Belling's Earnings Growth And 3.2% ROE

上海贝岭的盈利增长和3.2%的roe

It is hard to argue that Shanghai Belling's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 5.9%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 13% seen by Shanghai Belling over the last five years is not surprising. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

很难说上海贝岭的roe本身就很好。即使与行业平均roe 5.9%相比,该公司的roe也相当糟糕。考虑到情况,上海贝岭近五年净利润下降13%,这并不令人意外。我们认为这里可能还有其他因素在起作用。例如,公司的派息比率非常高,或者面临竞争压力。

That being said, we compared Shanghai Belling's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 17% in the same 5-year period.

话虽如此,我们将上海贝岭的表现与整个行业进行了比较,并对结果感到担忧。在同一五年期间,虽然上海贝岭公司的盈利有所缩水,但行业的盈利增长率为17%。

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SHSE:600171 Past Earnings Growth September 22nd 2024
SHSE:600171 过去盈利增长 2024年9月22日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Shanghai Belling's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

盈利增长是衡量股票价值的重要指标。投资者需要知道市场是否已经将公司预期的盈利增长(或下降)计价进去。通过这样做,他们能够了解股票是否将进入明朗的前景,还是会面临泥泞的未来。如果你对上海贝岭公司的估值感到疑惑,可以查看其市盈率相对于行业的比较。

Is Shanghai Belling Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

上海贝岭是否有效地利用了其利润?

When we piece together Shanghai Belling's low three-year median payout ratio of 19% (where it is retaining 81% of its profits), calculated for the last three-year period, we are puzzled by the lack of growth. This typically shouldn't be the case when a company is retaining most of its earnings. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For example, the company's business may be deteriorating.

当我们综合考虑上海贝岭过去三年的中位数低至19%的派息比率(保留了81%的利润),我们对其缺乏增长感到困惑。当公司大部分利润保留时,通常不应该出现这种情况。因此,可能还有其他解释。例如,公司的业务可能正在恶化。

In addition, Shanghai Belling has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

此外,上海贝岭在至少十年的时间内一直支付股息,这表明对于管理层来说,维持股息支付的重要性要远高于业务增长的代价。

Summary

总的来说,我们对伟明环保的表现非常满意。具体而言,我们喜欢公司以高回报率再投资了其利润的很大一部分。当然,这导致公司的收益大幅增长。但是,最新的行业分析师预测表明,该公司的收益预计将加速增长。

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Shanghai Belling's performance. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 3 risks we have identified for Shanghai Belling.

总体而言,我们对上海贝岭的表现有些矛盾。虽然该公司的再投资率很高,但低roe意味着所有的再投资对投资者没有带来任何好处,而且对盈利增长产生了负面影响。总结一下,我们会谨慎对待这家公司,一种做法就是查看公司的风险概况。我们的风险仪表将列出我们为上海贝岭确定的3个风险。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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