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Is Coherent (NYSE:COHR) A Risky Investment?

Is Coherent (NYSE:COHR) A Risky Investment?

Coherent(纽交所:COHR)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  09/23 07:47

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Coherent Corp. (NYSE:COHR) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

说得好,David Iben曾经说:“波动性并不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。” 当您评估一个公司的风险时,考虑其资产负债表是很自然的,因为当企业倒闭时通常都涉及到债务。 重要的是,科欧公司(纽交所股票:COHR)的确有负债。 但真正的问题是这些债务是否使公司变得风险更高。

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候负债才是一个问题?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

当企业无法轻松地通过自由现金流或以有吸引力的价格筹集资本来履行义务时,债务和其他负债会对企业产生风险。最终,如果企业无法履行偿还债务的法定义务,则股东可能什么都拿不到。虽然这种情况并不常见,但我们经常看到负债累累的企业由于债权人强制他们以处于困境的价格筹集资本而长期稀释股东权益。当然,有很多公司使用债务来资助增长,没有任何负面后果。在考虑公司的债务水平时,第一步是考虑现金和债务的综合情况。

How Much Debt Does Coherent Carry?

Coherent承担了多少债务?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Coherent had debt of US$4.10b at the end of June 2024, a reduction from US$4.31b over a year. On the flip side, it has US$926.0m in cash leading to net debt of about US$3.17b.

下面的图像显示,Coherent于2024年6月底负债为41亿美元,较一年前减少了43.1亿美元。 相反,它拥有9,2600万美元现金,导致净负债约为317亿美元。

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NYSE:COHR Debt to Equity History September 23rd 2024
纽交所股票COHR股权债务历史记录,2024年9月23日

How Healthy Is Coherent's Balance Sheet?

激光企业Coherent的资产负债表健康状况如何?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Coherent had liabilities of US$1.34b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$5.20b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$926.0m in cash and US$848.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$4.77b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

深入研究最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,Coherent有134亿美元的短期到期负债,以及超过520亿美元的长期到期负债。相对应的,该公司有9,2600万美元的现金和8,4850万美元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额超过现金和近期应收款项合计477亿美元。

Coherent has a very large market capitalization of US$13.3b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

Coherent的市值非常庞大,达到133亿美元,因此如果需要,很可能会筹集资金来改善其资产负债表。然而,仍然值得密切关注其偿债能力。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

为了衡量公司相对于其收益的债务情况,我们计算其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)和其利息支出除以利息前收益(EBIT)的比例(其利息覆盖率)。这种方法的优点是,我们既考虑了债务的绝对量(净负债与 EBITDA),又考虑到了与该债务相关的实际利息支出(其利息覆盖率)。

While we wouldn't worry about Coherent's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.6, we think its super-low interest cover of 0.43 times is a sign of high leverage. In large part that's due to the company's significant depreciation and amortisation charges, which arguably mean its EBITDA is a very generous measure of earnings, and its debt may be more of a burden than it first appears. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. Worse, Coherent's EBIT was down 67% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Coherent can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

尽管我们不会担心Coherent的净债务与息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)比率达到4.6,但我们认为其超低利息覆盖率为0.43倍表明其高杠杆。在很大程度上,这是由于公司的大量折旧和摊销费用,这可能意味着其EBITDA是一种非常慷慨的收益衡量标准,而其债务可能比表面看起来更为沉重。显然,借钱成本正在负面影响股东的回报。更糟糕的是,Coherent去年的EBIT下降了67%。如果收益长期保持这种走势,它支付债务的可能性微乎其微。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解最多有关债务的信息。但最终,业务的未来盈利能力将决定Coherent是否能够随时间加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看此免费报告,其中显示了分析师的利润预测。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Coherent produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 54% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最后,虽然税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冰冷的现金。因此,值得查看有多少EBIt是由自由现金流支持的。在过去三年中,Coherent产生了稳健的自由现金流,相当于其EBIt的54%,这正是我们所期望的。这笔自由现金流使公司有能力在适当时偿还债务。

Our View

我们的观点

On the face of it, Coherent's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Coherent's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. Given our hesitation about the stock, it would be good to know if Coherent insiders have sold any shares recently. You click here to find out if insiders have sold recently.

从表面上看,Coherent的利息偿付覆盖率让我们对股票持保留态度,其EBIt增长率并不比一年中最繁忙的夜晚上唯一一家空荡荡的餐馆引人注目。但至少它相当擅长将EBIt转化为自由现金流;这是令人鼓舞的。从更大的图景来看,我们认为Coherent的债务使用为公司带来风险。如果一切顺利,这可能会取得成功,但这笔债务的下行是永久损失风险更大。考虑到我们对该股的犹豫,了解一下Coherent内部人员最近是否出售任何股份将是不错的选择。想了解内部人员最近是否出售股票,请单击这里。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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