Is Woodward (NASDAQ:WWD) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Woodward (NASDAQ:WWD) Using Too Much Debt?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Woodward, Inc. (NASDAQ:WWD) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
霍华德·马克斯说得很好,他说,与其担心股价波动,'我担心的风险是永久性损失...我认识的每个实践投资者都在担心这个。' 当我们考虑一家公司有多大风险时,我们总是喜欢看看它的债务使用情况,因为债务过载会导致破产。 我们注意到伍德沃德(纳斯达克:WWD)的资产负债表上确实有债务。 但真正的问题在于,这笔债务是否使公司具有风险。
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
债务带来了什么风险?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
债务和其他负债对一家企业而言变得具有风险,当其无法轻松履行这些义务时,无论是通过自由现金流还是以有吸引力的价格筹集资本。 在最糟糕的情况下,如果一家公司无法偿还债务,就会破产。 然而,更常见(但仍昂贵)的情况是,一家公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东权益,仅仅是为了控制债务。 当然,债务的好处在于,它常常代表着廉价的资本,特别是当它取代公司在高回报率能够再投资的情况下的稀释。 当我们考虑一家公司使用债务时,我们首先看现金和债务两者结合在一起。
What Is Woodward's Debt?
伍德沃德的债务是什么?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Woodward had US$920.7m of debt, up from US$746.2m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had US$308.3m in cash, and so its net debt is US$612.3m.
正如您所看到的,截至2024年6月底,伍德沃德的债务为92070万美元,比一年前的74620万美元增加。 单击图像以获取更多详情。 不过,它也拥有30830万美元的现金,因此其净债务为61230万美元。
How Strong Is Woodward's Balance Sheet?
伍德沃德的资产负债表有多强?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Woodward had liabilities of US$913.1m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$1.25b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$308.3m in cash and US$812.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$1.04b.
根据最近公布的资产负债表,伍德沃德的负债中,有91310万美元在12个月内到期,125亿美元在12个月以上到期。抵消这部分负债的是,它有30830万美元的现金和81210万美元的应收款项在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过了其现金和(短期)应收款项的总和104亿美元。
Since publicly traded Woodward shares are worth a very impressive total of US$10.0b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
由于作为公开交易的伍德沃德股票总值达到了100亿美元,看来这种水平的负债不太可能构成重大威胁。话虽如此,明显需要继续监测其资产负债表,以防情况恶化。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
我们通过将公司的净债务与其息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)相除,并计算其息税前利润(EBIT)如何覆盖其利息费用(利息覆盖率)来衡量公司的债务负担相对于其盈利能力。因此,我们同时考虑债务的绝对数量以及所支付的利率。
Woodward has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.1. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 16.0 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Woodward has boosted its EBIT by 89%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Woodward's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
伍德沃德的净债务与EBITDA比率只有1.1。其EBIT覆盖利息费用高达16.0倍。因此,可以说它对债务的威胁不比大象对老鼠更大。除此之外,我们很高兴地报告,伍德沃德的EBIT增长了89%,从而减少了未来债务偿还的风险。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是要重点关注的领域。但更重要的是未来收入,将决定伍德沃德维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你关注未来,可以查看这份显示分析师盈利预测的免费报告。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Woodward produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 79% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
但我们的最终考虑也很重要,因为公司无法用纸上利润偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。因此,逻辑的步骤是观察那部分EBIT与实际自由现金流匹配的比例。在过去的三年中,伍德沃德创造出坚实的自由现金流,相当于其EBIT的79%,这正是我们所期望的。这笔冷硬现金意味着它可以在需要时减少债务。
Our View
我们的观点
Happily, Woodward's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its EBIT growth rate is also very heartening. Overall, we don't think Woodward is taking any bad risks, as its debt load seems modest. So the balance sheet looks pretty healthy, to us. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Woodward's earnings per share history for free.
伍德沃德令人欣喜的利息覆盖率意味着在债务方面占据了上风。而这只是好消息的开始,因为其EBIt增长率也令人鼓舞。总的来说,我们认为伍德沃德并没有冒任何风险,因为其债务负担显得适中。所以在我们看来,资产负债表看起来相当健康。相较于大多数其他指标,我们认为追踪每股收益的增长速度非常重要。如果您也意识到这一点,那您很幸运,因为今天您可以免费查看伍德沃德每股收益历史的互动图表。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有这些之后,您更感兴趣的是具有坚实资产负债表的快速增长公司,那么不要拖延,查看我们的净现金增长股票列表。
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