Here's Why Guobang Pharma (SHSE:605507) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Here's Why Guobang Pharma (SHSE:605507) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Guobang Pharma Ltd. (SHSE:605507) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
传奇基金经理李录(得到查理·芒格的支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是是否会遭受到永久性的资本损失。”因此,聪明的投资者知道,债务(通常涉及破产)在评估一家公司的风险时是一个非常重要的因素。重要的是,国邦医药股份有限公司(SHSE:605507)的确存在债务。但是这些债务是否会让股东感到担忧呢?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
债务带来了什么风险?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
当企业无法轻松通过自由现金流或者以有吸引力的价格筹集资本来履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债就会对企业构成风险。资本主义的一部分是“创造性破坏” 的过程,失败的企业会被它们的银行无情清算。然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是,该企业必须以低价筹集新的股本,从而永久性地稀释股东的持股。当然,债务对企业是一个重要的工具,特别是对于资本密集型企业。当我们审查债务水平时,我们首先要考虑现金和债务水平。
What Is Guobang Pharma's Net Debt?
国邦医药的净债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Guobang Pharma had CN¥1.08b of debt, an increase on CN¥914.1m, over one year. But it also has CN¥1.87b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥791.7m net cash.
您可以点击下面的图表查看历史数据,但数据显示,截至2024年6月,国邦医药有108亿人民币的债务,比一年前的91410万元增加。但它也拥有187亿人民币的现金来抵消这笔债务,这意味着净现金达到79170万元。
How Strong Is Guobang Pharma's Balance Sheet?
国邦制药的资产负债表有多强?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Guobang Pharma had liabilities of CN¥2.26b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥250.6m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.87b and CN¥1.26b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥616.0m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
从最近的资产负债表可以看出,国邦制药的短期到期负债为人民币22.6亿,长期应付款为人民币2.506亿元。另一方面,该公司有人民币18.7亿现金及12.6亿应收账款。因此,其流动资产比总负债多出6.16亿元。
This short term liquidity is a sign that Guobang Pharma could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Guobang Pharma has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
这种短期流动性表明国邦制药可能可以轻松偿还债务,因为其资产负债表远非紧张。简而言之,国邦制药拥有比债务更多的现金可能是其可以安全管理债务的良好迹象。
On the other hand, Guobang Pharma's EBIT dived 13%, over the last year. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Guobang Pharma can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
另一方面,国邦制药的息税折旧摊销前利润下滑了13%。如果这种盈利下降速度持续下去,该公司可能会陷入困境。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是明显的起点。但最终业务未来的盈利能力将决定国邦制药是否能够长期加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份免费报告以了解分析师的利润预测。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Guobang Pharma has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Guobang Pharma saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润并不能解决问题。虽然国邦制药在资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得关注其将息税折旧摊销前利润转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其正在快速(或侵蚀)现金余额。在过去三年中,国邦制药看到了大量负的自由现金流。虽然这可能是为了增长支出,但这确实使债务变得更加风险。
Summing Up
总之
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Guobang Pharma has net cash of CN¥791.7m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't have any problem with Guobang Pharma's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Guobang Pharma .
虽然我们对发现债务令人担忧的投资者表示同情,但您应该记住国邦药业拥有79170万人民币的净现金,以及比负债更多的流动资产。因此,我们对国邦药业利用债务没有任何问题。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解债务的大部分内容。然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表中 - 远非如此。因此,您应该注意我们发现的国邦药业的1个警示标志。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有这些之后,您更感兴趣的是具有坚实资产负债表的快速增长公司,那么不要拖延,查看我们的净现金增长股票列表。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。