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Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002304) Fundamentals Look Pretty Strong: Could The Market Be Wrong About The Stock?

Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002304) Fundamentals Look Pretty Strong: Could The Market Be Wrong About The Stock?

江苏洋河酒厂股份有限公司(SZSE:002304)的基本面看起来相当强劲:市场可能错了吗?
Simply Wall St ·  09/23 19:14

It is hard to get excited after looking at Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery's (SZSE:002304) recent performance, when its stock has declined 15% over the past three months. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. In this article, we decided to focus on Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery's ROE.

在看了江苏洋河酒厂(SZSE:002304)最近的表现之后,很难感到兴奋,因为其股票在过去三个月中下跌了15%。但是如果你仔细观察,你会发现其关键财务指标看起来相当不错,这可能意味着股票在长期内有可能上升,因为市场通常会奖励更具韧性的长期基本面。在本文中,我们决定专注于江苏洋河酒厂的roe。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

roe指股东权益回报率,是一种有用的工具,用于评估公司如何有效地从股东获得的投资中产生回报。简单来说,这衡量了一家公司相对于股东权益的盈利能力。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎样计算ROE?

The formula for return on equity is:

权益回报率的计算公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery is:

因此,根据上述公式,江苏洋河酒厂的roe为:

19% = CN¥10b ÷ CN¥53b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

19% = 人民币100亿 ÷ 人民币530亿(截至2024年6月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.19.

'回报'指的是公司过去一年的收益。因此,这意味着,对于每个股东投资的CN¥1,该公司会产生CN¥0.19的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE为什么对净利润增长很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我们已经确定ROE服务于衡量一个公司未来收益的效率指标。根据公司再投资或“保留”的这些利润的多少以及效果,我们便能够评估一个公司的收益增长潜力。假设其他条件均相等,则ROE和利润保留率均较高的公司通常比那些没有同样特征的公司具有更高的增长速度。

A Side By Side comparison of Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery's Earnings Growth And 19% ROE

江苏洋河酒厂盈利增长与19% roe的并排比较

At first glance, Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery seems to have a decent ROE. And on comparing with the industry, we found that the the average industry ROE is similar at 17%. This probably goes some way in explaining Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery's moderate 7.5% growth over the past five years amongst other factors.

乍一看,江苏洋河酒厂的roe似乎还不错。与行业相比,我们发现行业平均roe为17%。这可能在一定程度上解释了江苏洋河酒厂在过去五年中适中的7.5%增长,其中一些因素。

We then compared Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 15% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

然后,我们将江苏洋河酒厂的净利润增长与行业进行比较,发现公司的增长速度低于同一5年期间行业平均增长率15%,这有点令人担忧。

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SZSE:002304 Past Earnings Growth September 23rd 2024
SZSE:002304过去盈利增长2024年9月23日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

估价公司的依据在很大程度上与其盈利增长相关。对投资者来说,了解市场是否已经将公司预期的盈利增长(或下降)计入价格是很重要的。这有助于他们判断股票是正面未来还是负面未来。如果您想了解江苏洋河酒厂的估值,请查看其市盈率相对于行业的比较。

Is Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

江苏洋河酒厂是否有效利用其利润?

While Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery has a three-year median payout ratio of 58% (which means it retains 42% of profits), the company has still seen a fair bit of earnings growth in the past, meaning that its high payout ratio hasn't hampered its ability to grow.

尽管江苏洋河酒厂拥有58%的三年中位数分红比率(意味着留存42%的利润),但公司过去仍然看到相当大幅度的盈利增长,这意味着其高分红比率并未阻碍其增长能力。

Additionally, Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 68% of its profits over the next three years. Therefore, the company's future ROE is also not expected to change by much with analysts predicting an ROE of 21%.

此外,江苏洋河酒厂至少连续十年派发股息,这意味着公司非常注重与股东分享利润。在研究最新的分析师共识数据后,我们发现公司预计未来三年将继续分配约68%的利润。因此,分析师预测公司未来的roe也不会有太大变化,roe约为21%。

Conclusion

结论

On the whole, we do feel that Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery has some positive attributes. Its earnings have grown respectably as we saw earlier, which was likely due to the company reinvesting its earnings at a pretty high rate of return. However, given the high ROE, we do think that the company is reinvesting a small portion of its profits. This could likely be preventing the company from growing to its full extent. The latest industry analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to maintain its current growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总体而言,我们认为江苏洋河酒厂具有一些积极的特点。其盈利表现得到了相当可观的增长,这很可能是由于公司以相当高的回报率重新投资其盈利。然而,鉴于高ROE,我们认为公司正在将其利润的一小部分再投资。这可能阻止了公司完全发展壮大。最新行业分析师预测显示,预计该公司将保持其当前增长速度。这些分析师的预期是基于行业的广泛预期,还是基于公司的基本面?点击此处查看我们分析师针对该公司的预测页面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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