Investors More Bullish on China Everbright Bank (SHSE:601818) This Week as Stock Increases 3.3%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Five Years
Investors More Bullish on China Everbright Bank (SHSE:601818) This Week as Stock Increases 3.3%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Five Years
It's possible to achieve returns close to the market-weighted average return by buying an index fund. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more -- or less -- than that. While the China Everbright Bank Company Limited (SHSE:601818) share price is down 20% over half a decade, the total return to shareholders (which includes dividends) was 7.5%. That's better than the market which declined 1.1% over the same time.
通过购买指数基金,有可能获得接近市场加权平均回报率的回报。但是,如果你选择正确的个股,你的收入可能会比这更多或更少。尽管中国光大银行股份有限公司(SHSE: 601818)的股价在五年中下跌了20%,但股东总回报率(包括股息)为7.5%。这比同期下跌1.1%的市场要好。
While the stock has risen 3.3% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.
尽管该股在过去一周上涨了3.3%,但长期股东仍处于亏损状态,但让我们看看基本面能告诉我们什么。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
引用巴菲特的话说:“船只将在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大差异...”通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。
Looking back five years, both China Everbright Bank's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 0.1% per year. This reduction in EPS is less than the 4% annual reduction in the share price. This implies that the market is more cautious about the business these days. The low P/E ratio of 4.74 further reflects this reticence.
回顾五年,中国光大银行的股价和每股收益均有所下降;后者每年下降0.1%。每股收益的下降幅度低于股价每年4%的降幅。这意味着当今市场对该业务更加谨慎。4.74的低市盈率进一步反映了这种沉默。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下图描述了 EPS 随着时间的推移是如何变化的(点击图片可以看到确切的值)。
Dive deeper into China Everbright Bank's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of China Everbright Bank's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
查看这张中国光大银行收益、收入和现金流的交互式图表,深入了解中国光大银行的关键指标。
What About Dividends?
分红呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of China Everbright Bank, it has a TSR of 7.5% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑股东总回报(TSR)和股价回报率之间的差异。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报率。就中国光大银行而言,其过去5年的股东回报率为7.5%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
It's nice to see that China Everbright Bank shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 6.5% over the last year. That's including the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 1.5% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for China Everbright Bank you should know about.
很高兴看到中国光大银行的股东去年获得了 6.5% 的总股东回报率。这包括股息。这比五年来1.5%的年化回报率要好,这意味着该公司最近的表现更好。在最好的情况下,这可能暗示着一些真正的业务势头,这意味着现在可能是深入研究的好时机。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,考虑风险。每家公司都有它们,我们已经发现了一个你应该知道的中国光大银行的警告信号。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
当然,通过寻找其他地方,你可能会找到一笔不错的投资。因此,请看一下我们预计收益将增加的这份免费公司名单。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧吗?请直接联系我们。或者,也可以发送电子邮件至编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。