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Bitcoin Is 'Gold With A Leverage,' Says Expert Who Sees US Government In Big Trouble Over Debt Burden

Bitcoin Is 'Gold With A Leverage,' Says Expert Who Sees US Government In Big Trouble Over Debt Burden

比特币专家表示,比特币是带有杠杆的黄金,认为美国政府因债务负担而陷入严重困境。
Benzinga ·  09/24 10:14

Luke Gromen, president and founder of research firm Forest For The Trees, warns that the U.S. dollar-centric global monetary system is breaking down but gold and Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) are well-positioned assets.

Luke Gromen是研究公司Forest For The Trees的总裁兼创始人,警告称,以美元为中心的全球货币体系正在崩溃,但黄金和比特币(CRYPTO: BTC)是处于良好地位的资产。

What Happened: In a recent interview, Gromen argued that the U.S. government's fiscal situation has become so precarious that it now requires negative real interest rates and continued stock market gains to remain solvent.

发生了什么:在最近的一次采访中,Gromen认为,美国政府的财政状况变得如此危险,以至于现在需要负实际利率和持续的股市涨幅才能保持偿付能力。

"The reserve currency issuer of the world cannot afford their debt unless real rates are negative over some sustained period of time," Gromen stated. He pointed out that in August, the U.S. government's "true interest expense" – including entitlements and interest payments – reached 150% of tax receipts.

“作为世界储备货币发行方,在一段持续时间内,如果实际利率为负,他们无法偿还债务,”Gromen说。他指出,在8月份,美国政府的“真实利息支出” – 包括福利和利息支付 – 达到了税收的150%。

Gromen believes this dynamic will force the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates aggressively, regardless of economic conditions.

Gromen认为,这种动态将迫使美联储大幅削减利率,无论经济状况如何。

While skeptical of proposed anti-inflation measures from presidential candidates, Gromen predicts inflation will rebound as the government seeks to inflate away its debt burden. He sees gold and Bitcoin as well-positioned assets in this environment, expecting gold to potentially reach $3,000 per ounce (currently $2,632 per ounce).

虽然对总统候选人提出的反通胀措施持怀疑态度,Gromen预测通胀将随着政府试图通胀化解债务负担而反弹。他认为,在这种环境下,黄金和比特币是处于良好地位的资产,预计黄金有望达到每盎司3,000美元(当前每盎司2,632美元)。

Why It Matters: Gromen expressed optimism about Bitcoin's prospects alongside gold in the current economic environment.

为什么重要:Gromen对比特币在当前经济环境中的前景表示乐观,与黄金并列。

He suggested that Bitcoin has likely attracted some investment that might have previously gone to gold mining stocks, noting, "Some portion of people that buy gold miners have historically been 'Well, I want to own gold, but I want to own gold with a ticker.'"

他提出,比特币很可能吸引了一些之前可能流向黄金采矿股票的投资,指出:“一些购买黄金矿工的人,历史上曾经是‘嗯,我想拥有黄金,但我希望拥有带有逐笔明细的黄金。’”

He added that the narrative for these investors may be to buy Bitcoin if they want to own gold "with a leverage." Gromen sees both gold and Bitcoin as well-positioned assets in a regime where the world's most indebted nation requires negative real interest rates to service its debt.

他补充说,对于这些投资者而言,如果他们想拥有带有杠杆的黄金,他们可能会购买比特币。Gromen认为,在一个世界上最负债国家需要负利率期货来偿还债务的制度中,黄金和比特币都是定位良好的资产。

"If stocks go down and stay down, the U.S. receipts will not cover true interest expense," Gromen cautioned, underscoring the government's dependence on rising asset prices to fund its operations. He believes U.S. stocks must continue rising to drive consumer spending and tax receipts, making a major market correction unlikely.

“如果股票下跌并持续下跌,美国的收入将无法支付真实利息支出,”Gromen警告说,强调了政府依赖上涨的资产价格来资助其运营的情况。他认为,美国股市必须继续上涨以推动消费支出和税收,这样一次重大市场调整的可能性较小。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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