Is Wedge IndustrialLtd (SZSE:000534) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Wedge IndustrialLtd (SZSE:000534) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Wedge Industrial Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000534) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
传奇基金经理李录(得到查理·芒格支持)曾说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动性,而是您是否会遭受资本的永久损失。”因此,聪明的资金知道,债务(通常涉及破产)是评估一家公司风险性的一个非常重要因素。我们可以看到,万泽股份(SZSE:000534)在业务中确实使用债务。但股东们应该担心公司使用债务吗?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
债务带来了什么风险?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
债务是帮助企业增长的一项工具,但如果一个企业无力偿还债权人,则该企业就存在于债权人的责任之下。资本主义的部分来自“创造性破坏”的过程,失败的企业会被银行家无情地清算。然而,更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,一家公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久性地稀释股东的利益,以支撑其资产负债表。然而,债务可以代替稀释股份,成为需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的极好工具。考虑企业使用了多少负债时首先要做的就是看它的现金和负债总额。
What Is Wedge IndustrialLtd's Debt?
万泽股份有限公司的债务是什么?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Wedge IndustrialLtd had CN¥1.34b of debt, up from CN¥631.3m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥142.0m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥1.20b.
正如下图所示,在2024年6月底,万泽股份有限公司的债务为134亿元人民币,比一年前的6,313万元人民币增加。点击图片查看更多细节。然而,由于其现金储备为1,420万元人民币,其净债务较少,约为120亿元人民币。
How Strong Is Wedge IndustrialLtd's Balance Sheet?
万泽股份的资产负债表有多强?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Wedge IndustrialLtd had liabilities of CN¥744.0m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.35b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥142.0m in cash and CN¥412.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.54b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
最新的资产负债表数据显示,万泽股份到期一年内的负债为人民币74400万,而之后到期的负债为人民币13.5亿。相抵观之,该公司手头有人民币14200万的现金和人民币41260万的应收账款,这些应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总计相比现金和短期应收账款超出了人民币15.4亿。
This deficit isn't so bad because Wedge IndustrialLtd is worth CN¥4.53b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
这个赤字并不算太糟糕,因为万泽股份的价值为人民币45.3亿,因此如果需要,很可能可以筹集足够的资金来支持其资产负债表。然而,仔细了解其偿还债务能力仍然值得一看。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
我们通过将公司的净债务与其息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)相除,并计算其息税前利润(EBIT)如何覆盖其利息费用(利息覆盖率)来衡量公司的债务负担相对于其盈利能力。因此,我们同时考虑债务的绝对数量以及所支付的利率。
Wedge IndustrialLtd's debt is 5.0 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 6.2 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. One way Wedge IndustrialLtd could vanquish its debt would be if it stops borrowing more but continues to grow EBIT at around 16%, as it did over the last year. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Wedge IndustrialLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
万泽股份的债务是其EBITDA的5.0倍,并且其EBIT覆盖利息费用的倍数达到6.2倍。这意味着尽管债务水平相当高,但我们不会认为其构成问题。万泽股份消除债务的一个方法将是停止借更多款项,但继续以大约16%的速度增长EBIT,就像过去一年那样。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但最终,未来的收益,胜过一切,将决定万泽股份未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你关注未来,可以查看这份免费报告,展示分析师的盈利预测。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Wedge IndustrialLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
最后,尽管税务局可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冰冷的现金。因此,值得检查EBIT中有多少是由自由现金流支持的。在过去三年中,万泽股份的自由现金流总体上呈现出实质性的负增长。虽然投资者无疑希望这种情况会在不久的将来得到扭转,但这显然意味着其债务使用更具风险。
Our View
我们的观点
Wedge IndustrialLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. But on the bright side, its ability to to grow its EBIT isn't too shabby at all. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Wedge IndustrialLtd's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with Wedge IndustrialLtd (at least 2 which are a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
万泽股份将EBIT转换为自由现金流,在这一分析中确实起到了负面作用,尽管我们考虑的其他因素使其表现得更好。但从积极的一面来看,其增长EBIT的能力并不差。将上述因素综合起来,我们认为万泽股份的债务对业务造成了一定风险。虽然这些债务可以提高回报,但我们认为公司目前资产负债比已经足够高。资产负债表显然是分析债务时要关注的重点。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。我们已经发现了万泽股份的3个警示信号(至少2个有点不太愉快),理解它们应该成为您投资过程的一部分。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。
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