As Inner Mongolia First Machinery GroupLtd (SHSE:600967) Advances 4.6% This Past Week, Investors May Now Be Noticing the Company's Five-year Earnings Growth
As Inner Mongolia First Machinery GroupLtd (SHSE:600967) Advances 4.6% This Past Week, Investors May Now Be Noticing the Company's Five-year Earnings Growth
In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Inner Mongolia First Machinery Group Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600967), since the last five years saw the share price fall 36%. And it's not just long term holders hurting, because the stock is down 23% in the last year.
为了证明选择个别股票的努力是值得的,值得努力超过市场指数基金的回报。但主要目标是要找到足够的赢家,以弥补输家的损失。此时一些股东可能在质疑他们对内蒙古一机股份有限公司(SHSE:600967)的投资,因为过去五年股价下跌了36%。不仅是长期持有者受到了损失,因为该股票在过去一年内下跌了23%。
While the last five years has been tough for Inner Mongolia First Machinery GroupLtd shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.
尽管过去五年对内蒙古一机股份有限公司股东来说并不容易,但最近一周显示出了一些希望的迹象。因此,让我们来看一下更长期的基本面,看看它们是否导致了负回报。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
市场有时毫无疑问是有效的,但股票价格并不总是反映基本业务表现。一种有缺陷但合理的方法是比较每股收益(EPS)和股票价格,以评估围绕公司的情绪如何变化。
While the share price declined over five years, Inner Mongolia First Machinery GroupLtd actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 2.9% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.
尽管股价在五年内下跌,内蒙古一机股份有限公司实际上成功地以每年平均2.9%的速度增加了每股收益。考虑到股价的反应,人们可能会怀疑每股收益并不是该时期业务表现的良好指标(可能是由于一次性损益)。另外,过去可能对增长预期过于不切实际。
Based on these numbers, we'd venture that the market may have been over-optimistic about forecast growth, half a decade ago. Looking to other metrics might better explain the share price change.
根据这些数据,我们认为半个世纪前市场可能过于乐观地预测了增长。考虑其他指标可能更好地解释股价变化。
The revenue decline of 2.6% isn't too bad. But if the market expected durable top line growth, then that could explain the share price weakness.
2.6%的营业收入下降并不算太糟糕。但如果市场预期稳定的顶线增长,那么这可能解释股价的疲软。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下图显示了收益和营收随时间变化的情况(如果你点击图像,可以看到更多细节):
Take a more thorough look at Inner Mongolia First Machinery GroupLtd's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
通过这份关于内蒙一机公司财务健康状况的免费报告,更全面地了解其资产负债表。
What About Dividends?
那么分红怎么样呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Inner Mongolia First Machinery GroupLtd the TSR over the last 5 years was -29%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
在考虑投资回报时,重要的是注意总股东回报(TSR)与股价回报之间的差异。股价回报只反映了股价的变化,而TSR包括了分红的价值(假设它们被再投资)以及任何折价的增资或剥离的好处。可以说,TSR提供了更全面的股票回报画面。我们注意到,对于内蒙一机公司而言,过去5年的TSR为-29%,优于上述提到的股价回报。这在很大程度上是其分红支付的结果!
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
Inner Mongolia First Machinery GroupLtd shareholders are down 20% over twelve months (even including dividends), which isn't far from the market return of -19%. So last year was actually even worse than the last five years, which cost shareholders 5% per year. Weak performance over the long term usually destroys market confidence in a stock, but bargain hunters may want to take a closer look for signs of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Inner Mongolia First Machinery GroupLtd is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
内蒙古第一机械集团有限责任公司的股东在过去十二个月内跌幅达20%(甚至包括分红派息),与市场回报率-19%相差不远。因此,去年实际上比过去五年还要糟糕,每年损失股东5%。长期表现疲弱通常会摧毁市场对股票的信心,但低价猎手可能希望更仔细地寻找复苏迹象。尽管值得考虑市场状况对股价可能产生的不同影响,但还有更重要的因素。但是请注意,内蒙古第一机械集团有限责任公司在我们的投资分析中显示有1个警告信号,您应该了解...。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果您愿意查看另一家公司(具有潜在的更好财务状况),请不要错过这个免费的公司列表,证明它们可以增长收益。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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