With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.2x Hainan Haide Capital Management Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000567) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 28x and even P/E's higher than 52x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Hainan Haide Capital Management has been very sluggish. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
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How Is Hainan Haide Capital Management's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Hainan Haide Capital Management's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 17%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 335% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 25% per year as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 19% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Hainan Haide Capital Management's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Hainan Haide Capital Management currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Hainan Haide Capital Management (1 is significant) you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Hainan Haide Capital Management's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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