Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries (SHSE:600320) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Three Years
Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries (SHSE:600320) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Three Years
It can certainly be frustrating when a stock does not perform as hoped. But it's hard to avoid some disappointing investments when the overall market is down. The Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600320) is down 15% over three years, but the total shareholder return is -13% once you include the dividend. And that total return actually beats the market decline of 29%. But it's up 5.4% in the last week. But this could be related to the strong market, with stocks up around 5.4% in the same time.
当股票表现不如人意时,确实会令人沮丧。但是在整体市场走低的情况下,要避免一些令人失望的投资确实很困难。上海振华重工股份有限公司(SHSE:600320)在过去三年内下跌了15%,但如果包括分红派息在内,总股东回报率为-13%。而这个总回报实际上超过了市场下跌的29%。但在过去一周却上涨了5.4%。但这可能与市场走强有关,因为股票在同一时间内大约上涨了5.4%。
The recent uptick of 5.4% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.
最近的5.4%增长可能是未来积极的迹象,因此让我们来看一下历史基本面。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
引用巴菲特的话:“船只将周游世界,而‘地平派’仍会兴旺。市场上的价格和价值仍会存在广泛的差距……”考虑一家公司在市场上的认知如何变化的一个不完美但简单的方法是比较每股收益(EPS)的变化和股价的波动。
During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 5.5% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.
在不幸的三年股价下跌中,上海振华重工实际上看到了每股收益(EPS)每年改善5.5%。鉴于股价的反应,人们可能会怀疑EPS并非在那段时期内业务表现的良好指南(可能是由于一次性损失或收益)。或者公司在过去被过度炒作,因此其增长令人失望。
Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
由于EPS的变化似乎与股价的变化不相关,因此值得查看其他指标。
With a rather small yield of just 1.4% we doubt that the stock's share price is based on its dividend. We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 14% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. This analysis is just perfunctory, but it might be worth researching Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries more closely, as sometimes stocks fall unfairly. This could present an opportunity.
由于股票的收益率仅为1.4%,我们怀疑其股价并非基于分红。我们注意到,在过去的三年中,营业收入实际上以14%的年增长率增长,因此这似乎不是出售股票的理由。这只是一个肤浅的分析,但也许值得更仔细地研究一下振华b股,因为有时股票会不公平地下跌。这可能是一个机会。
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下面的图表显示了收益和营收随时间的变化情况(通过单击图像揭示确切的值)。

If you are thinking of buying or selling Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.
如果您考虑买入或卖出振华b股股票,您应该查看这份免费详细报告,了解其资产负债表。
What About Dividends?
那么分红怎么样呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries the TSR over the last 3 years was -13%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
考虑任何给定股票的总股东回报以及股价回报非常重要。而股价回报仅反映了股价的变化,TSR则包括了分红的价值(假设它们已被再投资)以及任何折让的增资或分拆的利益。可以说TSR为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的图片。我们注意到,振华b股在过去的3年中的TSR为-13%,这比上述股价回报要好。这在很大程度上是其分红支付的结果!
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
While it's never nice to take a loss, Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 2.3% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 14%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 1.6%, each year, over five years. In the best case scenario the last year is just a temporary blip on the journey to a brighter future. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries (including 1 which is significant) .
虽然亏损从来不是一件好事,但振华b股股东可以安慰自己,包括分红在内,过去十二个月的亏损为2.3%,并不像市场亏损约14%那么严重。长期投资者可能不会那么沮丧,因为他们在过去五年里每年可获得1.6%的收益。在最好的情况下,去年只是通往更光明未来道路上的一次暂时挫折。考虑股价受市场状况影响的不同影响是很值得的,但还有其他更重要的因素。因此,您应该了解我们发现的振华b股存在的3个警告信号(其中一个是重要的)。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果您愿意查看另一家公司(具有潜在的更好财务状况),请不要错过这个免费的公司列表,证明它们可以增长收益。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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