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Elon Musk Adjusts Forecast On SpaceX's Share Of All Mass To Orbit: 'If The Rest Of The Year Goes Well...'

Elon Musk Adjusts Forecast On SpaceX's Share Of All Mass To Orbit: 'If The Rest Of The Year Goes Well...'

伊隆·马斯克调整了对 spacex(临时代码) 在所有发射质量中的份额的预测:“如果今年剩下的时间顺利的话...”
Benzinga ·  09/25 08:08

Elon Musk on Tuesday said that his rocket manufacturing company SpaceX will launch close to 90% of all mass to orbit by the end of the year, trumping the competition by a huge margin.

埃隆·马斯克周二表示,他的火箭制造公司spacex(临时代码)将在年底之前发射近90%的轨道质量,以极大优势超过竞争对手。

What Happened: "If the rest of the year goes well, SpaceX will launch close to 90% of all mass to orbit. China will be ~6% and rest of world ~4%," Musk wrote on social media platform X.

如果今年余下时间顺利进行,spacex将发射近90%的所有质量到轨道。 中国将占6%,而其余世界将占4%。马斯克在社交媒体平台X上写道。

If the rest of the year goes well, SpaceX will launch close to 90% of all mass to orbit. China will be ~6% and rest of world ~4%.

— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) September 24, 2024

如果今年余下时间顺利进行,spacex将发射近90%的所有质量到轨道。 中国将占6%,而其余世界将占4%。

—— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) 2024年9月24日

The new outlook provided by the billionaire is slightly lower than his previous forecast. In May, Musk said that SpaceX "might exceed 90% of all Earth payload to orbit" this year.

亿万富翁提供的新预测略低于他之前的预测。 马斯克在5月表示,spacex今年“有可能超过90%的所有地球有效载荷到达轨道”。

The downgrade is possibly due to the two-week pause in SpaceX's launch operations in July following a mishap that occurred during a Starlink mission launched on July 11.

此次下调可能是由于7月份spacex发射操作中出现的事故导致的两周暂停。该事故发生在7月11日进行的Starlink任务期间。

In August, a Falcon 9 booster that supported a Starlink mission failed to land upright on a droneship at sea upon returning to Earth and exploded.

今年8月,支持Starlink任务的猎鹰9号助推器在返回地球时未能垂直着陆在海上的无人驾驶船上,并发生爆炸。

Why It Matters: According to a report from analytics firm Bryce Tech, SpaceX launched about 429,125 kgs of spacecraft upmass in Q1, seconded by China's China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation (CASC) which launched just 29,426 kgs. SpaceX accounted for roughly 87% of all mass to orbit in the quarter.

为什么值得关注:根据Bryce Tech分析公司的报告,spacex在第一季度发射了约429,125公斤的航天器上行质量,排名第二的是中国的航天科技集团公司(CASC),只发射了29,426公斤。 spacex在该季度大约占据了所有质量到轨道的87%。

SpaceX completed 67 missions using its Falcon launch vehicles as of the end of the second quarter, with its Falcon 9 workhorse alone accounting for 66 launches and Starlink missions accounting for a major chunk of it.

spacex截至第二季度末,通过猎鹰系列运载火箭完成了67次任务,猎鹰9型火箭独自完成了66次任务,而Starlink任务占据了其中很大一部分。

SpaceX is looking to launch 144 times through the end of the year. For the entirety of last year, SpaceX only completed 96 launches, not including two test flights of the company's Starship launch vehicle.

spacex计划在年底前进行144次发射。去年全年,spacex仅完成了96次发射,不包括公司Starship运载火箭的两次试飞。

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