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Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About Tectonic Therapeutic's (NASDAQ:TECX) Cash Burn Situation

Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About Tectonic Therapeutic's (NASDAQ:TECX) Cash Burn Situation

这就是为什么我们对纳斯达克公司Tectonic Therapeutic(纳斯达克: TECX)的现金燃烧情况并不太担心
Simply Wall St ·  09/25 07:56

We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?

我们可以理解为什么投资者会被无盈利的公司吸引。例如,虽然软件即服务行业的赛富时(Salesforce.com)在增加持续收入的同时多年来一直亏损,如果您从2005年持有股票,您一定获得了丰厚的回报。但是虽然历史赞扬这些少数的成功者,那些失败的人却经常被遗忘;谁记得Pets.com?

So, the natural question for Tectonic Therapeutic (NASDAQ:TECX) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

因此,对于泰科尼克治疗(纳斯达克股票代码:TECX)股东来说,一个自然的问题是他们是否应该担心公司的现金燃烧速度。就本文而言,现金燃烧是指一家亏损公司为了资助其增长而每年花费现金的速度;即其负自由现金流。我们将首先比较其现金燃烧与其现金储备,以计算其现金储备维持时间。

How Long Is Tectonic Therapeutic's Cash Runway?

泰科尼克治疗的现金储备能维持多久?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. When Tectonic Therapeutic last reported its June 2024 balance sheet in August 2024, it had zero debt and cash worth US$185m. In the last year, its cash burn was US$43m. Therefore, from June 2024 it had 4.3 years of cash runway. A runway of this length affords the company the time and space it needs to develop the business. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

公司的现金储备时间是通过将其现金储备除以其现金燃烧来计算的。当泰科尼克治疗在2024年6月报告其资产负债表时,即2024年8月,其没有债务,现金价值为1.85亿美元。在过去一年中,其现金燃烧额为4300万美元。因此,从2024年6月开始,其现金储备可支撑4.3年时间。这样长度的储备时间使公司有了发展业务所需的时间和空间。下图显示了过去几年间其现金余额的变化。

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NasdaqGM:TECX Debt to Equity History September 25th 2024
NasdaqGM股票代码TECX资产负债比历史数据(2024年9月25日)

How Is Tectonic Therapeutic's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

泰科尼克治疗的现金燃烧如何随时间变化?

Tectonic Therapeutic didn't record any revenue over the last year, indicating that it's an early stage company still developing its business. Nonetheless, we can still examine its cash burn trajectory as part of our assessment of its cash burn situation. With the cash burn rate up 23% in the last year, it seems that the company is ratcheting up investment in the business over time. However, the company's true cash runway will therefore be shorter than suggested above, if spending continues to increase. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

泰科尼克治疗在过去一年没有记录任何营业收入,表明它仍处于业务发展的早期阶段。尽管如此,我们仍可通过审视其现金燃烧轨迹的变化来评估其现金燃烧状况。在过去一年中,现金燃烧速度上升了23%,这表明公司随着时间的推移正在加大对业务的投资。然而,如果支出继续增加,公司的实际现金储备时间将比上文提到的要短。显然,关键因素在于公司未来是否会扩大业务。因此,查看我们对该公司的分析师预测是非常重要的。

How Hard Would It Be For Tectonic Therapeutic To Raise More Cash For Growth?

Tectonic Therapeutic要为增长筹集更多现金会有多困难?

Given its cash burn trajectory, Tectonic Therapeutic shareholders may wish to consider how easily it could raise more cash, despite its solid cash runway. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.

鉴于其现金燃烧轨迹,Tectonic Therapeutic的股东可能希望考虑尽管其现金储备充足,却能轻松筹集更多现金的可能性。发行新股或负债是上市公司筹集更多资金的最常见方式。通常情况下,公司会发行新股以筹集资金并推动增长。通过查看公司的现金燃烧情况与其市值的关系,我们可以了解如果公司需要筹集足够的现金来覆盖另一年的现金燃烧量时,股东会被摊薄多少。

Since it has a market capitalisation of US$308m, Tectonic Therapeutic's US$43m in cash burn equates to about 14% of its market value. Given that situation, it's fair to say the company wouldn't have much trouble raising more cash for growth, but shareholders would be somewhat diluted.

由于Tectonic Therapeutic的市值为3.08亿美元,其4300万美元的现金燃烧相当于其市值的约14%。鉴于这种情况,可以说公司不会有太多困难来为增长筹集更多现金,但股东可能会有些被摊薄。

So, Should We Worry About Tectonic Therapeutic's Cash Burn?

那么,我们应该担心Tectonic Therapeutic的现金燃烧吗?

As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about Tectonic Therapeutic's cash burn. For example, we think its cash runway suggests that the company is on a good path. While its increasing cash burn wasn't great, the other factors mentioned in this article more than make up for weakness on that measure. Considering all the factors discussed in this article, we're not overly concerned about the company's cash burn, although we do think shareholders should keep an eye on how it develops. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 3 warning signs for Tectonic Therapeutic (2 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

从目前情况来看,我们对Tectonic Therapeutic的现金燃烧并不太担心。例如,我们认为其现金储备表明该公司正走在一条良好的道路上。虽然其不断增加的现金燃烧不理想,但本文中提到的其他因素更多地弥补了这一指标上的弱点。综合本文讨论的所有因素,我们对公司的现金燃烧并不过分担忧,尽管我们认为股东应该注意其发展情况。另外,我们对该公司进行了深入调查,并在这里投资之前发现了3个警示信号(其中2个不容忽视!),您应该知道。

Of course Tectonic Therapeutic may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

当然,Tectonic Therapeutic可能不是最佳的股票买入选择。因此,您可能希望查看这个免费的公司收藏,其中包含高股本回报率的公司,或者这份具有高内部持股权的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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