Is Lianhe Chemical TechnologyLtd (SZSE:002250) A Risky Investment?
Is Lianhe Chemical TechnologyLtd (SZSE:002250) A Risky Investment?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Lianhe Chemical Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002250) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
霍华德·马克斯说得很好,他表示,与其担心股价波动,'我担心的是永久性损失的可能性...而且我认识的每个实际投资者都担心这一点。所以看起来聪明的人知道,债务(通常涉及破产)是一家公司风险评估中的一个非常重要因素。我们注意到联化科技股份有限公司(SZSE:002250)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但股东们是否应该担心它使用债务?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什么时候负债才是一个问题?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
当一家企业无法通过自由现金流或以有吸引力的价格筹集资本来轻松地履行这些义务时,其负债和其他负责成为了一种风险。最坏的情况是,如果一家公司不能偿还债权人的债务,那么它可能会破产。但是,常见但仍然昂贵的情况是:公司必须以低廉的股票价格稀释股东,以便控制债务。话虽如此,最常见的情况是:一家公司合理地管理其债务,并使其为自己带来好处。当我们考虑一家公司的债务使用情况时,我们首先看现金和债务在一起。
What Is Lianhe Chemical TechnologyLtd's Debt?
联化科技股份有限公司的债务是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Lianhe Chemical TechnologyLtd had debt of CN¥4.19b, up from CN¥4.01b in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.14b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥3.05b.
下面的图片,您可以单击以获取更详细信息,显示,截至2024年6月,联化科技股份有限公司的债务为419亿人民币,比一年前的401亿元有所增加。另一方面,它有114亿元现金,导致净债务约305亿元。
A Look At Lianhe Chemical TechnologyLtd's Liabilities
查看联化科技有限公司的负债情况
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Lianhe Chemical TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥3.43b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥3.42b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.14b in cash and CN¥1.57b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥4.13b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
深入了解最新资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,联化科技有限公司的负债中,有34.3亿人民币会在12个月内到期,34.2亿人民币会在此之后到期。与此相抵,公司有11.4亿人民币现金和15.7亿人民币应在12个月内到期的应收账款。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和高出41.3亿人民币。
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥4.45b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Lianhe Chemical TechnologyLtd's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Lianhe Chemical TechnologyLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
相对于其市值44.5亿人民币,这个赤字相当可观,因此建议股东们关注联化科技有限公司的债务使用情况。这意味着如果公司需要紧急强化资产负债表,股东们可能会遭受严重摊薄。毫无疑问,我们最能从资产负债表中了解债务情况。但最终,业务的未来盈利能力将决定联化科技有限公司是否能够随着时间增强其资产负债表。因此,如果您想了解专业人士的看法,您可能会发现这份有关分析师盈利预测的免费报告很有趣。
In the last year Lianhe Chemical TechnologyLtd had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 26%, to CN¥5.8b. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
在过去一年,联化科技有限公司在利息和税前亏损,并实际将营业收入减少了26%,至5800000000人民币。坦白说,这不是个好兆头。
Caveat Emptor
买方自负。
While Lianhe Chemical TechnologyLtd's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost CN¥83m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of CN¥476m. In the meantime, we consider the stock very risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Lianhe Chemical TechnologyLtd that you should be aware of before investing here.
尽管联化科技有限公司正在下降的营业收入让人倍感沮丧,可以说其利息和税前盈利(EBIT)亏损甚至更令人难以接受。事实上,其EBIT亏损8300万元人民币。当我们看到这一点,并回想起其资产负债表上的负债,相对于现金,对我们来说,公司持有任何债务似乎是不明智的。坦率地说,我们认为资产负债表远非完美,尽管可能会随着时间得到改善。举个例子,我们不希望看到去年亏损47600万元人民币的重演。与此同时,我们认为该股风险非常高。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是明显的起点。但最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表之外的风险。例如,我们发现了一项关于联化科技有限公司的警示信号,您在此进行投资前应该注意。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有这些之后,您更感兴趣的是具有坚实资产负债表的快速增长公司,那么不要拖延,查看我们的净现金增长股票列表。
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