Jilin Yatai (Group) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600881) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 39% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 33% over that time.
Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Jilin Yatai (Group)'s price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Basic Materials industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.1x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
What Does Jilin Yatai (Group)'s P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For example, consider that Jilin Yatai (Group)'s financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
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Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Jilin Yatai (Group)?
Jilin Yatai (Group)'s P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 29% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 64% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 7.8% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Jilin Yatai (Group) is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Jilin Yatai (Group)'s P/S?
Jilin Yatai (Group) appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
The fact that Jilin Yatai (Group) currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Jilin Yatai (Group) you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Jilin Yatai (Group), explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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