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Is Addsino (SZSE:000547) A Risky Investment?

Is Addsino (SZSE:000547) A Risky Investment?

Addsino(深交所:000547)是一项高风险的投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  09/26 00:34

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Addsino Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000547) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

传奇基金经理李录(得到查理·芒格支持)曾经说过,"最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是您是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。" 所以看起来聪明的投资者知道,债务(通常涉及破产)是一个非常重要的因素,当您评估一家公司的风险性时。我们注意到,Addsino Co.,Ltd.(SZSE:000547)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这些债务产生了多大的风险?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务和其他负债对一家企业而言会成为风险,当企业无法轻松履行这些义务时,无论是通过自由现金流还是以有吸引力的价格筹集资本。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法定义务,股东可能一无所得。然而,一个更普遍(但仍然痛苦)的情况是,它不得不以低价筹集新的股本,从而永久性地稀释股东的利益。当然,债务可以成为企业的重要工具,尤其是对于资本密集型企业。在考虑企业使用了多少债务时,首先要做的是将现金和债务结合在一起。

What Is Addsino's Net Debt?

Addsino的净债务是什么?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Addsino had CN¥1.24b of debt, an increase on CN¥788.9m, over one year. However, it does have CN¥1.42b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥182.9m.

您可以点击下方的图表查看历史数据,但截至2024年6月,Addsino的债务为12.4亿元人民币,在一年内增加了7889万元人民币。然而,它确实有14.2亿元人民币的现金来抵消这一点,导致净现金为1829万元人民币。

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SZSE:000547 Debt to Equity History September 26th 2024
SZSE:000547债务与权益历史数据2024年9月26日

How Strong Is Addsino's Balance Sheet?

Addsino的资产负债表有多强?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Addsino had liabilities of CN¥4.33b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥490.5m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.42b as well as receivables valued at CN¥3.00b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥396.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

根据最近披露的资产负债表显示,Addsino有433亿元的负债需在12个月内偿还,以及49050万元的负债需在12个月后偿还。抵消这些债务的是,它有142亿元的现金和300亿元应在12个月内到期的应收账款。因此,它的负债总额比现金和短期应收账款总额多39690万元。

Since publicly traded Addsino shares are worth a total of CN¥10.5b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Addsino also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Addsino's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

由于Addsino公开交易股价总值为105亿元,这种水平的负债似乎不太可能构成重大威胁。但是,我们认为值得密切关注其资产负债表的实力,因为它可能会随时间而变化。虽然它确实有值得注意的负债,Addsino也比债务拥有更多的现金,因此我们相当有信心它能安全管理其债务。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解债务的大部分内容。但是Addsino的收入将影响未来资产负债表的情况。因此,在考虑债务时,着眼于收入趋势绝对是值得的。点击这里查看互动快照。

Over 12 months, Addsino made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥1.6b, which is a fall of 45%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

在12个月内,Addsino在EBIt水平上亏损,并且其营业收入下降至160亿元,下降了45%。这至少令我们感到有些紧张。

So How Risky Is Addsino?

那么Addsino有多冒险?

By their very nature companies that are losing money are more risky than those with a long history of profitability. And we do note that Addsino had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, over the last year. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of CN¥656m and booked a CN¥2.0b accounting loss. However, it has net cash of CN¥182.9m, so it has a bit of time before it will need more capital. Summing up, we're a little skeptical of this one, as it seems fairly risky in the absence of free cashflow. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Addsino you should know about.

从本质上讲,亏损的公司比那些长期盈利的公司更具风险性。我们确实注意到,过去一年中Addsino的利息和税前利润(EBIT)亏损。在同一时期,它看到了65600万元的负自由现金流出和20亿元的会计亏损。然而,它有净现金18290万元,因此在需要更多资本之前还有一些时间。总的来说,我们对这个公司有些怀疑,因为在没有自由现金流的情况下,它似乎相当具有风险性。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表了解债务的大部分内容。然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表之内——而不是完全如此。这些风险可能很难发现。每家公司都有风险,我们已经发现了Addsino的1个警告信号,您应该知晓。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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