Shareholders 25% Loss in Guangdong Tapai Group (SZSE:002233) Partly Attributable to the Company's Decline in Earnings Over Past Three Years
Shareholders 25% Loss in Guangdong Tapai Group (SZSE:002233) Partly Attributable to the Company's Decline in Earnings Over Past Three Years
It can certainly be frustrating when a stock does not perform as hoped. But when the market is down, you're bound to have some losers. While the Guangdong Tapai Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002233) share price is down 35% in the last three years, the total return to shareholders (which includes dividends) was -25%. That's better than the market which declined 26% over the last three years. On the other hand the share price has bounced 9.5% over the last week. The buoyant market could have helped drive the share price pop, since stocks are up 6.7% in the same period.
当股票表现不如预期时,股东可能会感到沮丧。但在市场走低时,一定会有一些输家。虽然广东塔牌集团股份有限公司(SZSE:002233)的股价在过去三年下跌了35%,股东的总回报(包括分红)为-25%。这比市场下跌了26%好。另一方面,股价在过去一周反弹了9.5%。市场的活跃可能推动了股价上涨,因为股票在同一时期上涨了6.7%。
While the stock has risen 9.5% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.
尽管股票在过去一周上涨了9.5%,但长期股东仍处于亏损状态。让我们看看基本面能告诉我们什么。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
不可否认的是,市场有时是高效的,但价格并不总是反映潜在的商业表现。一个不完美但简单的方法来考虑公司市场感知如何改变是比较每股收益(EPS)变化和股价变动。
Guangdong Tapai Group saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 35% per year, over the last three years. In comparison the 14% compound annual share price decline isn't as bad as the EPS drop-off. So, despite the prior disappointment, shareholders must have some confidence the situation will improve, longer term.
在过去三年中,广东塔牌集团的每股收益以年复合率35%的速度下降。相比之下,股价的年复合下降率为14%,并不像每股收益的下降那么严重。因此,尽管之前令人失望,股东必须对情况会在较长时间内改善抱有一定的信心。
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
该公司的每股收益(随时间的推移)如下图所示(单击可查看确切数字)。
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
在购买或出售股票之前,我们始终建议对历史增长趋势进行仔细研究,可以在这里找到相关信息。
What About Dividends?
那么分红怎么样呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Guangdong Tapai Group, it has a TSR of -25% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
对于任何给定的股票,考虑总股东回报和股价回报至关重要。TSR是一种回报计算,考虑了现金分红的价值(假设任何收到的股息都重新投资)以及任何贴现的资本增发和拆分的计算价值。因此,对于支付慷慨股息的公司,TSR通常比股价回报高得多。就塔牌集团而言,过去3年其TSR为-25%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报。公司支付的股息因此提升了总股东回报。
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
Although it hurts that Guangdong Tapai Group returned a loss of 5.6% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 14%. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it's worse than the annualised loss of 0.7% over the last half decade. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Guangdong Tapai Group better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - Guangdong Tapai Group has 2 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.
尽管塔牌集团在过去12个月内出现亏损5.6%,但更广泛的市场实际上表现更糟糕,亏损14%。不幸的是,去年的表现可能表明尚未解决的挑战,因为这比过去半个世纪的年化亏损0.7%还要糟糕。虽然有些投资者专门从事购买陷入困境的公司(尽管被低估),但不要忘记巴菲特说过的“转型很少成功”。跟踪股价表现长期来看总是很有趣。但为了更好地了解塔牌集团,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,承担风险 - 塔牌集团有2个警示信号(我们认为您应该知晓的1个信号也并不太符合我们的期望)。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果您愿意查看另一家公司(具有潜在的更好财务状况),请不要错过这个免费的公司列表,证明它们可以增长收益。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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