share_log

Investors in Long Yuan Construction Group (SHSE:600491) From Five Years Ago Are Still Down 64%, Even After 11% Gain This Past Week

Investors in Long Yuan Construction Group (SHSE:600491) From Five Years Ago Are Still Down 64%, Even After 11% Gain This Past Week

五年前投资龙元建设集团(SHSE:600491)的投资者仍然亏损64%,即使上周涨了11%
Simply Wall St ·  2024/09/26 02:08

Long Yuan Construction Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600491) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 11% in the last week. But that can't change the reality that over the longer term (five years), the returns have been really quite dismal. Indeed, the share price is down 65% in the period. So we're hesitant to put much weight behind the short term increase. We'd err towards caution given the long term under-performance.

龙元建设(SHSE:600491)股东应该高兴地看到上周股价上涨11%。 但这并不能改变长期(五年)回报实际上相当糟糕的事实。 实际上,在此期间,股价下跌了65%。 因此,我们对短期增长持谨慎态度。 鉴于长期表现不佳,我们更倾向于谨慎。

While the last five years has been tough for Long Yuan Construction Group shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

虽然过去五年对龙元建设集团的股东来说是艰难的,但上周显示了一些希望的迹象。 因此,让我们看看长期基本面,看看它们是否是负回报的驱动因素。

Long Yuan Construction Group isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.

龙元建设集团目前没有盈利,因此大多数分析师会关注营业收入增长,以了解基础业务增长速度。 一般来说,没有盈利的公司预计每年都会增长营业收入,并且增速会很快。 想象一下,快速的营业收入增长,如果持续下去,通常会导致快速的利润增长。

Over half a decade Long Yuan Construction Group reduced its trailing twelve month revenue by 17% for each year. That puts it in an unattractive cohort, to put it mildly. Arguably, the market has responded appropriately to this business performance by sending the share price down 11% (annualized) in the same time period. It's fair to say most investors don't like to invest in loss making companies with falling revenue. You'd want to research this company pretty thoroughly before buying, it looks a bit too risky for us.

在过去的半个世纪里,龙元建设集团每年将其过去十二个月的营业收入降低了17%。 这将其置于一个不太吸引人的同行中,委婉地说是如此。 可以说市场对此业绩作出了适当反应,将股价在同一时期内下跌了11%(年化)。 可以公平地说,大多数投资者不愿投资于营收下降的亏损公司。 在购买之前,您需要彻底调研该公司,对我们来说看起来有点太冒险了。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

以下图像显示了公司的营业收入和盈利(随时间变化)(单击以查看准确的数字)。

big
SHSE:600491 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 26th 2024
SHSE:600491 2024年9月26日收益和营业收入增长

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

你可以在这个免费的互动图表中看到它的资产负债表如何随着时间的推移而加强(或削弱)。

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

We regret to report that Long Yuan Construction Group shareholders are down 38% for the year. Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 14%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 10% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Long Yuan Construction Group you should be aware of.

我们遗憾地报告,龙元建设的股东今年跌了38%。不幸的是,这比更广泛的市场下跌14% 还糟糕。话虽如此,在熊市中有些股票被抛售过度是不可避免的。关键是要关注基本面的发展。遗憾的是,去年的表现结束了一段糟糕的时期,股东们面临着五年来每年总亏损10%。一般来说,长期的股价疲弱可能是一个不好的迹象,不过逆向投资者可能希望研究这支股票,希望有所转机。我发现长期股价作为业务表现的一种替代是非常有趣的。但要真正获得见解,我们也需要考虑其他信息。举例来说:我们发现了 龙元建设2个警示信号,你应该注意。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果您愿意查看另一家公司(具有潜在的更好财务状况),请不要错过这个免费的公司列表,证明它们可以增长收益。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发