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Is Shanghai Wanye EnterprisesLtd (SHSE:600641) A Risky Investment?

Is Shanghai Wanye EnterprisesLtd (SHSE:600641) A Risky Investment?

上海万业企业有限公司(SHSE:600641)是一个风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  09/26 02:44

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Shanghai Wanye Enterprises Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600641) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

伯克希尔哈撒韦的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李录(Li Lu)坦率表示:“最大的投资风险不是价格波动,而是是否会遭受资本永久损失。” 当您考虑一个公司的风险程度时,自然会考虑到其资产负债表,因为企业破产时通常涉及债务。需要注意的是,上海万业企业股份有限公司(SHSE:600641)确实存在债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务造成了多大的风险?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时有危险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务是帮助业务增长的工具,但如果一家企业无法偿还债权人,它就存在于债权人的掌控下。如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,那么股东可能一无所获。当然,更为频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是公司必须以低于市场价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以补充其资产负债表。当然,债务的好处是,它通常代表廉价的资本,特别是当它替代了一家公司在高回报率下再投资的稀释时。当我们考虑一家公司使用债务的情况时,首先看的是现金和债务的总和。

What Is Shanghai Wanye EnterprisesLtd's Debt?

上海万业企业有限公司的债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Shanghai Wanye EnterprisesLtd had CN¥418.3m of debt in June 2024, down from CN¥469.6m, one year before. However, it does have CN¥3.57b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥3.15b.

您可以点击下方的图表查看历史数据,但其中显示,2024年6月,上海万业企业有限公司的债务为41830万人民币,比一年前的46960万人民币有所下降。 然而,该公司持有357亿人民币的现金,抵消了这笔债务,导致净现金为315亿人民币。

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SHSE:600641 Debt to Equity History September 26th 2024
SHSE:600641 自20024年9月26日的历史债务与股本比率

A Look At Shanghai Wanye EnterprisesLtd's Liabilities

查看上海万业企业有限公司的负债情况

According to the last reported balance sheet, Shanghai Wanye EnterprisesLtd had liabilities of CN¥695.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥782.4m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥3.57b as well as receivables valued at CN¥100.2m due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥2.19b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根据最近公布的资产负债表,上海万业企业有限公司目前的负债情况是:12个月内到期的负债为69500万人民币,超过12个月到期的负债为78240万人民币。抵消这些负债的是,公司目前拥有357亿人民币的现金和以12个月到期的应收账款价值10020万人民币。因此,它比总负债多出219亿人民币的流动资产。

This surplus suggests that Shanghai Wanye EnterprisesLtd is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Shanghai Wanye EnterprisesLtd has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Shanghai Wanye EnterprisesLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

这种盈余表明上海万业企业有限公司正在以一种看起来既安全又保守的方式使用债务。由于其良好的净资产状况,公司不太可能面临与债权人的问题。简而言之,上海万业企业有限公司拥有比债务更多的现金,这无疑是一个可以安全管理债务的良好迹象。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表上最能了解债务的情况。但最终,企业未来的盈利能力将决定上海万业企业有限公司能否不断加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您想了解专业人士的看法,您可能会发现分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

In the last year Shanghai Wanye EnterprisesLtd had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 44%, to CN¥776m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

在过去一年中,上海万业企业有限公司的利润税前亏损,并且其营收实际减少了44%,降至77600万人民币。坦白说,这不是一个好兆头。

So How Risky Is Shanghai Wanye EnterprisesLtd?

那么万业企业Ltd有多大的风险?

We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones. And the fact is that over the last twelve months Shanghai Wanye EnterprisesLtd lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of CN¥638m and booked a CN¥38m accounting loss. Given it only has net cash of CN¥3.15b, the company may need to raise more capital if it doesn't reach break-even soon. Overall, its balance sheet doesn't seem overly risky, at the moment, but we're always cautious until we see the positive free cash flow. For riskier companies like Shanghai Wanye EnterprisesLtd I always like to keep an eye on the long term profit and revenue trends. Fortunately, you can click to see our interactive graph of its profit, revenue, and operating cashflow.

我们毫无疑问,亏损的公司一般情况下比盈利的公司风险更大。事实上,过去12个月,上海万业企业有限公司在利息和税前利润(EBIT)方面亏损。与此同时,它看到自由现金流为负63800万人民币,并录得3800万人民币的会计亏损。考虑到公司只有315亿人民币的净现金,如果不久达到盈亏平衡,公司可能需要筹集更多资金。总体而言,目前公司的资产负债表似乎并不过于冒险,但在看到正面自由现金流之前,我们总是保持谨慎。对于像上海万业企业有限公司这样更具风险性的公司,我总是关注其长期利润和营收趋势。幸运的是,您可以点击查看我们的收益、营收和经营现金流的互动图表。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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