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Is Adtalem Global Education (NYSE:ATGE) A Risky Investment?

Is Adtalem Global Education (NYSE:ATGE) A Risky Investment?

Adtalem Global Education(纽交所:ATGE)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  09/26 11:07

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Adtalem Global Education Inc. (NYSE:ATGE) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

传奇基金经理李录(受到查理·芒格支持)曾经说过,“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是是否会承受永久性的资本损失。”因此,明智的资金知道,债务(通常涉及破产)是评估公司风险程度时非常重要的因素。我们注意到Adtalem Global Education Inc.(纽交所:ATGE)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但这笔债务是否令股东担忧呢?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

当企业无法轻松履行债务义务时,债务和其他负债会变得风险高企。无论是通过自由现金流还是以有吸引力的价格筹集资本,如果情况变得非常糟糕,银行家就可以控制企业。然而,一种更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以便宜的股票价格稀释股东,只是为了控制债务。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表着廉价资本,特别是当它用于替换具有高回报率再投资能力的股权稀释之时。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先考虑现金和债务水平,将它们合并在一起。

What Is Adtalem Global Education's Net Debt?

Adtalem Global Education的净债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Adtalem Global Education had US$648.7m of debt in June 2024, down from US$695.1m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$219.3m, its net debt is less, at about US$429.4m.

您可以点击下方的图表查看历史数据,但显示Adtalem Global Education在2024年6月拥有6.487亿元的债务,低于一年前的6.951亿元。但由于其拥有2.193亿元的现金储备,其净债务较少,约为4.294亿元。

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NYSE:ATGE Debt to Equity History September 26th 2024
纽交所:ATGE从2024年9月26日开始的债务资产比历史数据。

A Look At Adtalem Global Education's Liabilities

审视adtalem global education的负债

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Adtalem Global Education had liabilities of US$487.7m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$884.6m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$219.3m as well as receivables valued at US$126.8m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$1.03b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

深入了解最新资产负债表数据,我们可以看到adtalem global education在12个月内到期的负债为48770万美元,到期超过12个月的负债为88460万美元。 抵消这些义务,它持有21930万美元的现金以及价值12680万美元的应收款项,这些应收款项在12个月内到期。 因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收款项的组合多了10.3亿美元。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Adtalem Global Education has a market capitalization of US$2.92b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

尽管这看起来可能很多,但由于Adtalem Global Education的市值为29.2亿美元,所以如果需要的话,它可能通过筹集资本来加强资产负债表。但我们绝对要保持警惕,看看是否有迹象表明其债务带来了太多风险。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

BJ批发俱乐部控股公司的净债务只有EBITDA的0.62倍。而其EBIT轻松覆盖其利息费用,比例为12.6倍。因此,我们对其超级保守的债务使用感到相当放心。虽然BJ批发俱乐部控股公司在EBIT方面没有取得太多进展,但至少其盈利保持稳定。当分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显然的切入点。但归根结底,企业未来的盈利能力将决定BJ批发俱乐部控股公司能否随着时间的推移加强资产负债表。因此,如果你要关注未来,可以查看一下这份免费的分析报告,了解分析师的盈利预测。

While Adtalem Global Education's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.2 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 5.1 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. We note that Adtalem Global Education grew its EBIT by 20% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Adtalem Global Education can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

虽然adtalem global education的低债务与EBITDA比率为1.2表明只是适度使用债务,但去年EBIt仅覆盖了利息支出的5.1倍,这让我们感到担忧。 因此,我们建议密切关注融资成本对业务的影响。 我们注意到,adtalem global education去年的EBIt增长了20%,这应该使其未来更容易偿还债务。 毫无疑问,我们最多从资产负债表中了解债务情况。 但最终,业务的未来盈利能力将决定adtalem global education是否能随着时间加强其资产负债表。 因此,如果您想了解专业人士的看法,您可能会发现对分析师利润预测的这份免费报告很有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Adtalem Global Education recorded free cash flow worth 60% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

最后,公司只能用冰冷的现金来偿还债务,而不是会计盈利。因此,我们始终会核实该EBIt中有多少转化为自由现金流。在最近的三年里,adtalem global education记录的自由现金流价值相当于其EBIt的60%,这是正常情况,因为自由现金流不包括利息和税金。这笔冰冷的现金意味着它可以在需要时减少债务。

Our View

我们的观点

Happily, Adtalem Global Education's impressive EBIT growth rate implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And we also thought its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a positive. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Adtalem Global Education can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Adtalem Global Education you should be aware of.

令人高兴的是,adtalem global education令人印象深刻的EBIt增长率意味着它在债务方面具有优势。我们还认为其将EBIt转化为自由现金流是一个积极因素。综合考虑所有上述因素,我们认为adtalem global education可以相对轻松地处理其债务。当然,虽然这种杠杆可以提高股本回报,但也带来了更多风险,因此值得关注。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,而是相去甚远。一个例证:我们发现了adtalem global education的2个警告信号,你应该注意。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

说到底,有时候更容易集中精力关注根本不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费访问零净债务增长股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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