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Why Vanov Holdings' (HKG:2260) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Why Vanov Holdings' (HKG:2260) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

为什么环龙控股(环龙控股(临时代码):2260)不稳定的盈利只是其问题的开始
Simply Wall St ·  09/26 18:39

Investors were disappointed by Vanov Holdings Company Limited's (HKG:2260 ) latest earnings release. We did some analysis, and found that there are some reasons to be cautious about the headline numbers.

投资者对环龙控股(临时代码:HK:2260)最新的盈利发布感到失望。我们进行了一些分析,发现有一些原因需要对头条数字保持谨慎。

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SEHK:2260 Earnings and Revenue History September 26th 2024
SEHK:2260盈利和营业收入历史数据为2024年9月26日

A Closer Look At Vanov Holdings' Earnings

仔细观察环龙控股的盈利情况

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

作为金融迷,大家应该已经知道,从现金流量中的应计比率是评估公司自由现金流(FCF)与利润匹配情况的关键指标之一。 换句话说,该比率将FCF从净利润中扣除,并将该数值除以公司在该期间内的平均营运资产。 该比率显示我们公司盈利超过了自由现金流的多少。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,当公司的应计比率为负时,实际上是一件好事,但如果其应计比率为正,则是一件坏事。虽然应计比率为零以上的事情无关紧要,但我们认为当公司的应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文:“应计越高的公司未来利润率越低”。

Over the twelve months to June 2024, Vanov Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of 0.21. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥51.3m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥78m in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥78m, this year, indicates high risk.

截至2024年6月的十二个月内,环龙控股的应计比率为0.21。因此,我们知道其自由现金流明显低于其净利润,这并不是一个好兆头。尽管它报告了5130万人民币的盈利,但从自由现金流情况来看,实际上在过去一年中烧掉了7800万人民币。考虑到上一年的负自由现金流,我们可以想象一些股东可能会想知道,今年的7800万人民币现金烧损是否表示高风险。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Vanov Holdings.

注意: 我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。 点击此处查看我们对环龙控股资产负债表分析。

Our Take On Vanov Holdings' Profit Performance

我们对环龙控股(临时代码)的盈利表现持有看法。

Vanov Holdings' accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Vanov Holdings' true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you'd like to know more about Vanov Holdings as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For example, we've found that Vanov Holdings has 4 warning signs (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

最近十二个月的环龙控股的应计比率表示现金转化不够理想,这对我们对其盈利的看法是一个负面因素。 因此,我们认为环龙控股实际的底层盈利能力可能低于其法定利润。 可悲的是,过去十二个月其每股收益下降。 当然,我们只是刚刚开始分析其盈利;除了利润,还可以考虑边际利润、预测增长和投资回报率等因素。 如果您想了解环龙控股作为一家企业更多信息,了解其面临的任何风险是很重要的。 例如,我们发现环龙控股有4个警示信号(1个不容忽视!)在继续进行分析之前值得您关注。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Vanov Holdings' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

今天我们只关注了一个数据点,以更好地了解环龙控股的盈利性质。 但是,如果您能够专注于细枝末节,总会有更多发现。 一些人认为高净资产收益率是优质企业的良好标志。 因此,您可能希望查看这些具有高净资产回报率的公司的免费收藏,或者这些拥有高内部所有权股票的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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