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Why GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s (HKG:1203) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Why GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s (HKG:1203) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

为什么GDH广南(控股)(HKG:1203)摇摇欲坠的盈利只是其问题的开始
Simply Wall St ·  2024/09/27 07:18

A lackluster earnings announcement from GDH Guangnan (Holdings) Limited (HKG:1203) last week didn't sink the stock price. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.

上周光宁集团(控股)有限公司(HKG:1203)发布的业绩报告并未导致股价下跌。我们的分析表明,除了盈利数字偏弱外,投资者还应注意一些其他数字中潜在的弱点。

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SEHK:1203 Earnings and Revenue History September 26th 2024
SEHK:1203盈利和营业收入历史数据 2024年9月26日

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

除了稀释之外,还应该注意的是,万集科技在过去12个月中因不寻常项目获得了价值人民币3.5万元的利润。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当这些不寻常项目对利润做出重大贡献时,我们会更加谨慎。我们对全球大部分上市公司的数据进行了分析,发现不寻常项目往往是一次性的。这正如我们所期望的那样,因为这些提升被描述为"不寻常"。相对于其利润而言,万集科技在2021年12月前的不寻常项目贡献大。因此,我们可以推断出,这些不寻常项目正在使其财务利润显著增强。

To properly understand GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s profit results, we need to consider the HK$45m gain attributed to unusual items. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

要透彻理解光宁集团(控股)的利润结果,我们需要考虑到4500万港元与飞凡项目相关的收益。尽管我们喜欢看到利润增加,但当飞凡项目产生较大贡献时,我们往往会更加谨慎。我们对全球大多数上市公司进行了数据分析,发现飞凡项目往往是一次性的。这并不奇怪,考虑到其名称。假设这些飞凡项目在当年不再出现,那么我们预计明年的利润将较弱(在没有业务增长的情况下)。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。

Our Take On GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s Profit Performance

我们对光宁集团(控股)的利润业绩看法

Arguably, GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s statutory earnings have been distorted by unusual items boosting profit. Because of this, we think that it may be that GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 4 warning signs with GDH Guangnan (Holdings), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

可以说,GDH广南(控股)的法定利润受到飞凡项目的扭曲,从而提高了利润。因此,我们认为GDH广南(控股)的法定利润可能优于其基础盈利能力。遗憾的是,其每股收益在过去十二个月内下降了。当涉及到分析其收益时,我们只是触及到表面;人们还可以考虑毛利、预测增长以及投资回报等其他因素。因此,如果您想深入研究这只股票,考虑到它面临的任何风险是至关重要的。在投资风险方面,我们已经确定了GDH广南(控股)存在4个警告信号,了解这些应该成为您投资过程的一部分。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

这份提示只是从一个角度探讨了揭示GDH广南(控股)利润本质的因素。但还有许多其他方法可以帮助您了解一家公司。有些人认为高股本回报率是良好业务的一个征兆。虽然可能需要您进行一些研究,但您可能会发现这个免费的高股本回报率公司收藏,或者这个持有大量内部股份的股票清单是有用的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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