The Five-year Loss for Shui On Land (HKG:272) Shareholders Likely Driven by Its Shrinking Earnings
The Five-year Loss for Shui On Land (HKG:272) Shareholders Likely Driven by Its Shrinking Earnings
This week we saw the Shui On Land Limited (HKG:272) share price climb by 11%. But over the last half decade, the stock has not performed well. In fact, the share price is down 59%, which falls well short of the return you could get by buying an index fund.
本周,我们看到瑞安房地产有限公司(HKG:272)的股价上涨了11%。但在过去的半个十年里,该股表现不佳。实际上,股价下跌了59%,远远低于您通过购买指数基金可以获得的回报。
Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last five years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.
虽然过去一周股东的投资回报率有所缓解,但在过去五年中仍处于亏损状态,因此让我们看看这家公司的基本业务是否是导致下跌的原因。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
引用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话:短期内市场是一个投票机,但长期来看它是一个称重机。评估公司周边环境的情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。
During the five years over which the share price declined, Shui On Land's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 33% each year. The share price decline of 17% per year isn't as bad as the EPS decline. The relatively muted share price reaction might be because the market expects the business to turn around.
在股价下跌的五年中,瑞安房地产的每股收益(EPS)每年下降33%。每年17%的股价下跌并不像EPS的下降那么糟糕。股价反应相对平淡可能是因为市场预期业务会好转。
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
下面可以看到每股收益随时间的变化情况(通过点击图像来查看确切数值)。
This free interactive report on Shui On Land's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
这份免费互动报告涵盖了瑞安房地产的收益、营业收入和现金流,如果您想进一步调查这只股票,这是一个很好的起点。
What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
那么,股东总回报(TSR)呢?
Investors should note that there's a difference between Shui On Land's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Shui On Land's TSR of was a loss of 40% for the 5 years. That wasn't as bad as its share price return, because it has paid dividends.
投资者应该注意,瑞安房地产的总股东回报(TSR)和股价变动之间存在差异,我们已经在上文提及过。可以说TSR是一个更完整的回报计算,因为它考虑了分红的价值(如同它们被再投资了一样),以及向股东提供过的任何折现资本的假设价值。瑞安房地产的TSR在过去5年中亏损了40%,这并不像它的股价回报那么糟糕,因为它支付了股息。
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
Shui On Land shareholders are down 6.9% for the year, but the market itself is up 14%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, longer term shareholders are suffering worse, given the loss of 7% doled out over the last five years. We'd need to see some sustained improvements in the key metrics before we could muster much enthusiasm. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - Shui On Land has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
瑞安房地产的股东今年下跌了6.9%,但市场本身上涨了14%。即使好股票的股价有时也会下跌,但我们希望看到企业基本指标的改善,才会对其产生浓厚兴趣。不幸的是,长期股东遭受了更大的损失,过去五年已损失了7%。在我们能够产生热情之前,我们需要看到关键指标的持续改善。我发现长期观察股价作为业绩代理非常有趣。但要真正获得洞察,我们还需要考虑其他信息。举个例子,要承担风险 - 瑞安房地产有2个警示标志,我们认为您应该注意。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
如果您喜欢与管理层一起购买股票,那么您可能会喜欢这个公司的免费列表。 (提示:其中许多公司不为人注意且具有吸引力的估值。)
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了当前在香港证券交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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