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Deluxe Family Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600503) Stock Is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

Deluxe Family Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600503) Stock Is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

华丽家族股份有限公司(SHSE:600503)的股价飙升,但财务数据似乎不一致:上涨趋势会持续吗?
Simply Wall St ·  09/26 23:24

Deluxe Family's (SHSE:600503) stock is up by a considerable 22% over the past month. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Specifically, we decided to study Deluxe Family's ROE in this article.

华丽家族(SHSE:600503)的股价在过去一个月中上涨了可观的22%。 但该公司的关键财务指标似乎在各方面存在差异,这使我们产生了对该公司当前股价势头能否持续的疑问。 具体来说,我们决定在本文中研究华丽家族的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

对于股东来说,股东回报率(ROE)是一个重要的考虑因素,因为它告诉股东他们的资本被有效地再投资了多少。换句话说,它是一个衡量公司股东提供的资本回报率的盈利能力比率。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎样计算ROE?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Deluxe Family is:

因此,根据以上公式,华丽家族的roe是:

2.2% = CN¥80m ÷ CN¥3.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

2.2% = 8000万人民币 ÷ 370亿人民币(截至2024年6月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.02 in profit.

“回报”是税后收益,在过去的十二个月内获得。另一种思考方式是,对于每一元人民币的股权价值,公司能够赚取0.02元的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE为什么对净利润增长很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我们已经确定ROE作为评估公司未来收益的有效指标。现在我们需要评估公司为未来增长所保留的利润量,从而给我们一个关于公司增长潜力的想法。假设其他条件都相同,既具有较高ROE又具有较高利润保留的公司通常是增长率更高的公司,相比之下没有这些特点的公司会更低。

A Side By Side comparison of Deluxe Family's Earnings Growth And 2.2% ROE

华丽家族盈利增长和2.2% roe的并列对比

As you can see, Deluxe Family's ROE looks pretty weak. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 3.3%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 28% seen by Deluxe Family over the last five years is not surprising. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

正如您所见,华丽家族的roe看起来相当疲弱。不仅如此,甚至与行业平均水平3.3%相比,该公司的roe完全不引人注目。鉴于情况,华丽家族过去五年净利润下降28%的明显下降并不令人意外。然而,导致盈利下降的可能还认问题可能还有其他因素。例如,公司的分红比率很高,或者面临竞争压力。

Next, when we compared with the industry, which has shrunk its earnings at a rate of 7.2% in the same 5-year period, we still found Deluxe Family's performance to be quite bleak, because the company has been shrinking its earnings faster than the industry.

接下来,当我们与行业进行比较时,在同一5年时期内以7.2%的速度减少其盈利的行业,我们仍然发现华丽家族的表现相当糟糕,因为公司以比行业更快的速度减少其盈利。

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SHSE:600503 Past Earnings Growth September 27th 2024
SHSE:600503 历史数据 2024年9月27日盈利增长

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Deluxe Family's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

盈利增长是股票估值中的一个重要因素。投资者接下来需要判断的是,预期的盈利增长或缺乏盈利增长是否已经反映在股价中。然后这有助于他们判断股票是展望光明还是前景黯淡。如果您想了解华丽家族估值情况,可以查看其市盈率相对于行业的表现。

Is Deluxe Family Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

华丽家族是否高效利用其利润?

Deluxe Family's low three-year median payout ratio of 11% (implying that it retains the remaining 89% of its profits) comes as a surprise when you pair it with the shrinking earnings. This typically shouldn't be the case when a company is retaining most of its earnings. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

华丽家族低的三年中位分红比率为11%(表明其留存其利润的余下的89%),而当您将其与萎缩的盈利相结合时,这可能会令人惊讶。当一家公司保留大部分盈利时,通常情况下不会出现这种情况。看起来可能有一些其他原因来解释这种不足。例如,业务可能正在下滑。

Additionally, Deluxe Family has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

此外,华丽家族在至少十年的时间里支付了股息,这意味着公司管理层决心支付股息,即使这意味着几乎没有盈利增长。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Deluxe Family. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 1 risk we have identified for Deluxe Family by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

总体而言,我们对华丽家族的感觉有些复杂。虽然该公司有很高的再投资率,但低roe意味着所有这些再投资对其投资者并未带来任何好处,而且对收益增长也产生了负面影响。总的来说,我们将对这家公司谨慎行事,其中一种方式是查看该业务的风险配置。您可以免费在我们的平台上查看我们为华丽家族识别的一个风险,访问我们的风险仪表板。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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