We Think Suning UniversalLtd (SZSE:000718) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
We Think Suning UniversalLtd (SZSE:000718) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Suning Universal Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000718) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
大卫·伊本说得很对,他说,'波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免永久性的资本损失。'因此,聪明的资金知道,债务(通常涉及破产)是评估公司风险性的一个非常重要因素。我们可以看到,苏宁环球股份有限公司(SZSE:000718)的业务确实使用债务。但股东们是否应该担心其使用债务?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什么时候负债才是一个问题?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
债务是帮助业务增长的工具,但如果一家企业无法偿还债权人,它就存在于债权人的掌控下。如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,那么股东可能一无所获。当然,更为频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是公司必须以低于市场价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以补充其资产负债表。当然,债务的好处是,它通常代表廉价的资本,特别是当它替代了一家公司在高回报率下再投资的稀释时。当我们考虑一家公司使用债务的情况时,首先看的是现金和债务的总和。
What Is Suning UniversalLtd's Net Debt?
苏宁环球有限公司的净负债是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Suning UniversalLtd had CN¥1.67b of debt in June 2024, down from CN¥2.23b, one year before. However, it also had CN¥637.6m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥1.03b.
您可以点击下方的图表查看历史数字,但显示苏宁环球有限公司在2024年6月有16.7亿人民币的债务,低于一年前的22.3亿人民币。然而,它还有63760万人民币的现金,因此其净债务为10.3亿人民币。
A Look At Suning UniversalLtd's Liabilities
苏宁环球有关负债的一瞥
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Suning UniversalLtd had liabilities of CN¥4.01b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥887.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥637.6m and CN¥1.23b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥3.04b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
深入看最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到苏宁环球有400.1亿元的负债在12个月内到期,以及超过这个期限的8878万元的负债。另一方面,公司拥有6376万元和12.3亿元应于一年内到期的应收款项。因此,其负债总额比现金和短期应收款项的合计多304亿元。
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Suning UniversalLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥6.28b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
虽然这看起来很多,但并不算太糟糕,因为苏宁环球的市值为62.8亿元,所以如果有需要,公司可能通过增加资本来加强资产负债表。但很明显,我们绝对应该密切关注公司是否能够在没有稀释的情况下管理其债务。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
通过查看公司的净债务与利息、税、折旧、摊销前利润(EBITDA)之比以及它的利息费用(利息覆盖率)可以衡量一个公司的债务负担与收益能力。因此,我们考虑将债务与有无计算折旧和摊销费用的收益相对比。
Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 1.3 and interest cover of 5.2 times, it seems to us that Suning UniversalLtd is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. One way Suning UniversalLtd could vanquish its debt would be if it stops borrowing more but continues to grow EBIT at around 11%, as it did over the last year. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Suning UniversalLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
从其净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)的比率为1.3和利息覆盖倍数为5.2倍来看,我们认为苏宁环球可能是以一种相当合理的方式利用债务。因此,我们建议密切关注融资成本对业务的影响。苏宁环球可以击败其债务的一种方法是停止借更多款项,但继续以大约11%的速度增长EBIt,就像过去一年所做的那样。资产负债表显然是在分析债务时需要关注的领域。但决定资产负债表未来状况的还是苏宁环球的盈利。因此,在考虑债务时,值得关注盈利趋势。单击此处查看交互式快照。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Suning UniversalLtd recorded free cash flow worth 58% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
但我们的最终考虑也很重要,因为公司不能用纸面利润偿还债务;它需要现金。逻辑的步骤是看看EBIt中与实际自由现金流相匹配的比例。在最近的三年中,苏宁环球记录的自由现金流相当于其EBIt的58%,这在正常情况下是可以接受的,因为自由现金流不包括利息和税款。这笔确切的现金意味着公司可以在希望时减少其债务。
Our View
我们的观点
Suning UniversalLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real positive on this analysis, as was its EBIT growth rate. Having said that, its level of total liabilities somewhat sensitizes us to potential future risks to the balance sheet. Considering this range of data points, we think Suning UniversalLtd is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 4 warning signs with Suning UniversalLtd (at least 2 which are potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
苏宁环球有限公司将EBIt转化为自由现金流对此分析是一个真正的正面,其EBIt增长率也是如此。 话虽如此,其总负债水平在一定程度上使我们对资产负债表可能面临的未来风险更加敏感。考虑到这一系列数据点,我们认为苏宁环球有限公司有能力管理其债务水平。但需要谨慎提醒的是:我们认为债务水平高到足以证明继续监控的必要性。当您分析债务时,资产负债表显然是要重点关注的领域。然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表之中——远非如此。我们已经识别出苏宁环球有限公司存在四个警告迹象(至少有两个可能严重),了解它们应该成为您投资过程的一部分。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有这些之后,您更感兴趣的是具有坚实资产负债表的快速增长公司,那么不要拖延,查看我们的净现金增长股票列表。
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