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Elon Musk's Not-So-Long-Ago Prediction Of A 1929 Market Crash Falls Flat As S&P 500 Soars 50%, Defying Tesla CEO's Gloomy Outlook

Elon Musk's Not-So-Long-Ago Prediction Of A 1929 Market Crash Falls Flat As S&P 500 Soars 50%, Defying Tesla CEO's Gloomy Outlook

特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克不久前预测1929年的股市崩盘未能实现,标准普尔500指数飙升50%,违背了特斯拉CEO的悲观前景
Benzinga ·  01:20

The S&P 500 has surged nearly 50% since Tesla Inc and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk drew parallels between the current market conditions and the infamous 1929 stock market crash.

标普500指数自特斯拉公司和spacex首席执行官埃隆·马斯克将当前市场状况与臭名昭著的1929年股市崩盘类比以来,已大幅上涨近50%。

What Happened: This remarkable rally, was highlighted by CNBC's Carl Quintanilla.

事件详情:这一引人注目的涨势受到了CNBC的卡尔·昆塔尼利亚的强调。

On Mar. 15, 2023, amid a flurry of bank failures that sent shockwaves through the financial sector, Musk tweeted, "Lot of current year similarities to 1929."

2023年3月15日,在一连串导致金融部门震荡的银行倒闭中,马斯克发推文称:“许多当前年份与1929年相似之处。”

This ominous comparison to one of the darkest chapters in economic history came in response to a now-unavailable post by Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood, known for her bullish stance on disruptive technologies.

这种对经济史上最黑暗时期之一的不祥比较是针对现在无法查看的一篇由以看好破坏性技术而闻名的Ark首席执行官凯茜·伍德发的帖子。

Lot of current year similarities to 1929

— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) March 15, 2023

许多当前年份与1929年相似之处

— 埃隆·马斯克(@elonmusk) 2023年3月15日

Musk's tweet coincided with the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), Signature Bank, and Silvergate Capital, events that briefly paralyzed financial markets and evoked memories of the 2008 financial crisis.

马斯克的推文恰逢硅谷银行(SVB)、signature bank和silvergate capital的倒闭,这些事件曾一度令金融市场瘫痪,并勾起2008年金融危机的回忆。

The turmoil led to significant market value losses for banking giants like JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America, though they later rebounded following swift regulatory intervention.

这一动荡导致摩根大通和美国银行等银行巨头遭受了重大市值损失,尽管它们在迅速的监管干预后后来出现了回升。

Why It Matters: The 1929 reference was particularly chilling for those familiar with financial history. The stock market crash of that year, infamously known as Black Tuesday or the Great Crash, triggered the Great Depression, an economic catastrophe unparalleled in modern times.

为什么重要: 1929年的参考对于熟悉金融历史的人来说尤为令人悚然。那一年的股市崩盘,臭名昭著的黑色星期二或大萧条,引发了现代历史上前所未有的经济灾难。

During that fateful October, the Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeted 23% in just two days, setting the stage for a decade of economic hardship.

在那个命运多舛的十月,道琼斯工业平均指数在短短两天内暴跌了23%,为十年的经济困难搭建了舞台。

While Musk didn't elaborate on the specific similarities he observed between 1929 and the current market, Wood had previously suggested that the rise of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) and Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) had led to the first decline in bank deposit levels since the Roaring Twenties. The observation hinted at potential systemic risks lurking beneath the surface of the financial system.

尽管马斯克没有详细说明他在1929年和当前市场之间观察到的具体相似之处,伍德此前曾暗示,像比特币(CRYPTO: BTC)和以太坊(CRYPTO: ETH)这样的加密货币的兴起导致了自狂热的二十年代以来首次银行存款水平的下降。这种观察暗示着金融体系表面下潜在的系统性风险。

However, contrary to these gloomy forecasts, the S&P 500 has demonstrated remarkable resilience. According to data from Benzinga Pro, the index closed at 5,745.37 on Thursday, representing a staggering 47.62% increase from its level of 3,891.93 on the day of Musk's tweet.

然而,与这些令人沮丧的预测相反,标普500指数表现出了非凡的韧性。根据彭博社的数据,该指数周四收于5745.37点,比马斯克发推文当天的3891.93点大幅增长了47.62%。

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Image Via Shutterstock

图片来自Shutterstock。

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