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China Television Media (SHSE:600088) Could Be At Risk Of Shrinking As A Company

China Television Media (SHSE:600088) Could Be At Risk Of Shrinking As A Company

中国电视传媒(SHSE:600088)可能面临公司规模变小的风险
Simply Wall St ·  09/27 02:09

When researching a stock for investment, what can tell us that the company is in decline? A business that's potentially in decline often shows two trends, a return on capital employed (ROCE) that's declining, and a base of capital employed that's also declining. Trends like this ultimately mean the business is reducing its investments and also earning less on what it has invested. And from a first read, things don't look too good at China Television Media (SHSE:600088), so let's see why.

在研究股票投资时,什么可以告诉我们这家公司正在走下坡路?一家潜在处于衰退状态的企业通常显示两个趋势,即资本雇佣的回报率(ROCE)下降,以及资本雇用基础也在减少。这样的趋势最终意味着企业正在减少投资,同时也在投资中赚取更少的收入。首次阅读时,中国电视传媒(SHSE:600088)的情况看起来并不乐观,让我们来看看为什么。

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

我们对 Enphase Energy 的资本雇用回报率的看法:正如我们上面看到的,Enphase Energy 的资本回报率没有提高,但它正在重新投资于业务。投资者必须认为未来会有更好的前景,因为股票表现良好,使持股五年以上的股东获得了 690% 的收益。最终,如果基本趋势持续存在,我们不会对它成为一只多头股持有期很久很有信心。

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for China Television Media, this is the formula:

只是为了澄清,如果你不确定,ROCE是一个评估公司在其业务中投资的资本上赚取多少税前收入(以百分比形式)的指标。要为中国电视传媒计算这个指标,可以使用以下公式:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

资产雇用回报率(ROCE)是指企业利润,即企业税前利润除以企业投入的总资本(负债加股权)。如果ROCE高于企业财务成本的承受能力,那么企业就会创造出更多的价值。

0.012 = CN¥16m ÷ (CN¥1.6b - CN¥240m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

0.012 = 1600万人民币 ÷(160亿人民币 - 2.4亿人民币)(基于2024年6月止的过去十二个月)。

So, China Television Media has an ROCE of 1.2%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Entertainment industry average of 5.4%.

因此,中国电视传媒的ROCE为1.2%。从绝对值来看,这是一个较低的回报率,也低于娱乐行业平均水平的5.4%。

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SHSE:600088 Return on Capital Employed September 27th 2024
SHSE:600088 资本雇用回报率2024年9月27日

Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for China Television Media's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you'd like to look at how China Television Media has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of China Television Media's past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

历史绩效是研究股票的绝佳起点,请查看以上中国电视传媒的ROCE表现与先前回报的指标。如果您想查看中国电视传媒在其他指标上的过往表现,可以查看中国电视传媒过去收益、营业收入和现金流的免费图表。

So How Is China Television Media's ROCE Trending?

那么中国电视传媒的ROCE趋势如何?

We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at China Television Media. Unfortunately the returns on capital have diminished from the 13% that they were earning five years ago. And on the capital employed front, the business is utilizing roughly the same amount of capital as it was back then. Companies that exhibit these attributes tend to not be shrinking, but they can be mature and facing pressure on their margins from competition. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on China Television Media becoming one if things continue as they have.

我们对中国电视传媒资本回报率的趋势有些担忧。不幸的是,资本回报率从五年前的13%下降了。在资本运用方面,该业务使用的资本大致与当时持平。表现出这些特征的公司往往不会萎缩,但可能会成熟,并且面临来自竞争的利润压力。因此,由于这些趋势通常不利于创造多倍收益,如果事情继续发展下去,我们不认为中国电视传媒会成为一个多倍收益的机会。

The Key Takeaway

重要提示

All in all, the lower returns from the same amount of capital employed aren't exactly signs of a compounding machine. Investors must expect better things on the horizon though because the stock has risen 14% in the last five years. Either way, we aren't huge fans of the current trends and so with that we think you might find better investments elsewhere.

总的来说,在资本运用相同数量的情况下收益较低并不完全是复利机器的迹象。投资者必须期待未来有更好的发展,因为该股票在过去五年上涨了14%。无论如何,我们不太看好当前的趋势,所以我们认为您可能会在其他地方找到更好的投资机会。

While China Television Media doesn't shine too bright in this respect, it's still worth seeing if the company is trading at attractive prices. You can find that out with our FREE intrinsic value estimation for 600088 on our platform.

虽然中国电视传媒在这方面表现并不太出色,但仍值得看看该公司是否以有吸引力的价格交易。您可以在我们的平台上免费获取600088的内在价值估算。

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group确实存在一些风险,我们已经发现了一条警示标志,你可能会感兴趣。对于那些喜欢投资于实力雄厚的公司的人,可以查看这个由财务状况强大、股本回报率高的公司组成的免费列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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