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Luyang Energy-Saving Materials (SZSE:002088) Earnings and Shareholder Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for the Last Three Years, but the Stock Rallies 8.4% This Past Week

Luyang Energy-Saving Materials (SZSE:002088) Earnings and Shareholder Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for the Last Three Years, but the Stock Rallies 8.4% This Past Week

鲁阳节能(SZSE:002088)过去三年的盈利和股东回报一直走低,但股票在过去一周上涨了8.4%
Simply Wall St ·  2024/09/27 15:25

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But if you try your hand at stock picking, you risk returning less than the market. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Luyang Energy-Saving Materials Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002088) shareholders, since the share price is down 53% in the last three years, falling well short of the market decline of around 24%. And the ride hasn't got any smoother in recent times over the last year, with the price 31% lower in that time. But it's up 8.4% in the last week. The buoyant market could have helped drive the share price pop, since stocks are up 9.6% in the same period.

为了证明选择个别股票的努力是值得的,值得努力打败市场指数基金的回报。但是,如果您尝试挑选股票,可能会冒着比市场回报更低的风险。不幸的是,长期持有鲁阳节能材料股份有限公司(SZSE:002088)的股东们遭受了这种情况,因为股价在过去三年中下跌了53%,远远低于市场下降约24%。而在最近一年内,股价下跌了31%,表现并不好。但在过去一周内上涨了8.4%。繁荣的市场可能推动了股价上涨,因为在同一时期,股票上涨了9.6%。

While the stock has risen 8.4% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.

虽然股价在过去一周上涨了8.4%,但长期股东仍处于亏损状态,让我们看看基本面能告诉我们什么。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

虽然一些人仍然在教授高效市场假说,但已经证明市场是过度反应的动态系统,投资者不总是理性的。一种有缺陷但合理的评估公司情绪变化的方法是比较每股收益 (EPS) 与股价。

During the three years that the share price fell, Luyang Energy-Saving Materials' earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 3.2% each year. The share price decline of 22% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy. This increased caution is also evident in the rather low P/E ratio, which is sitting at 11.78.

在股价下跌的三年中,鲁阳节能材料的每股收益(EPS)每年下降了3.2%。股价下跌了22%,实际上比EPS下滑更严重。因此,EPS下降可能令市场失望,导致投资者不愿购买。这种增加的谨慎也体现在较低的市盈率上,目前为11.78。

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以看到EPS随时间的变化如下(通过单击图像了解确切数值)。

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SZSE:002088 Earnings Per Share Growth September 27th 2024
深证指数:002088每股收益增长2024年9月27日

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

在购买或出售股票之前,我们始终建议对历史增长趋势进行仔细研究,可以在这里找到相关信息。

What About Dividends?

关于分红派息的问题

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Luyang Energy-Saving Materials' TSR for the last 3 years was -46%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑总股东回报率(TSR)和股价回报之间的差异。TSR包含任何股权分拆或折价募资的价值,以及基于股息被再投资的假设,因此对于支付丰厚股息的公司,TSR往往比股价回报高得多。恰好,鲁阳节能过去3年的TSR为-46%,超过之前提到的股价回报。毫无疑问,股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧!

A Different Perspective

另一种看法

While the broader market lost about 10% in the twelve months, Luyang Energy-Saving Materials shareholders did even worse, losing 27% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 11%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Luyang Energy-Saving Materials .

虽然更广泛的市场在过去12个月损失约10%,但鲁阳节能股东表现得更糟,损失了27%(包括股息在内)。然而,这可能只是由更广泛市场的不安所影响股价。值得关注基本面情况,以防出现好机会。从长期来看,投资者不会太沮丧,因为他们每年将获得11%的收益,持续五年。如果基本数据继续表明长期可持续增长,当前的抛售可能是值得考虑的机会。我发现长期内观察股价作为业务表现的代理是非常有趣的。但要真正获得洞察,我们也需要考虑其他信息。为此,您应该注意我们发现的鲁阳节能存在的1个警示标志。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果您愿意查看另一家公司(具有潜在的更好财务状况),请不要错过这个免费的公司列表,证明它们可以增长收益。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。

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