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SAIC Motor's (SHSE:600104) Earnings Have Declined Over Five Years, Contributing to Shareholders 34% Loss

SAIC Motor's (SHSE:600104) Earnings Have Declined Over Five Years, Contributing to Shareholders 34% Loss

五年来,上汽集团(SHSE:600104)的收益下降,导致股东损失了34%。
Simply Wall St ·  09/27 03:59

It's nice to see the SAIC Motor Corporation Limited (SHSE:600104) share price up 12% in a week. But if you look at the last five years the returns have not been good. After all, the share price is down 44% in that time, significantly under-performing the market.

很高兴看到上汽集团股份有限公司(SHSE:600104)股价一周上涨了12%。但是如果你看过去五年,回报并不理想。毕竟,在那段时间里,股价下跌了44%,明显表现不佳。

Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last five years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.

虽然过去一周股东的投资回报率有所缓解,但在过去五年中仍处于亏损状态,因此让我们看看这家公司的基本业务是否是导致下跌的原因。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

引用巴菲特的话:“船只将周游世界,而‘地平派’仍会兴旺。市场上的价格和价值仍会存在广泛的差距……”考虑一家公司在市场上的认知如何变化的一个不完美但简单的方法是比较每股收益(EPS)的变化和股价的波动。

During the five years over which the share price declined, SAIC Motor's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 15% each year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 11% compound annual share price fall. So the market may previously have expected a drop, or else it expects the situation will improve.

在股价下降的五年里,上汽集团的每股收益(EPS)每年下降15%。EPS下降的速度比11%的年复合股价下跌更糟糕。因此市场可能之前预期会下降,或者市场认为情况会好转。

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

下面可以看到每股收益随时间的变化情况(通过点击图像来查看确切数值)。

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SHSE:600104 Earnings Per Share Growth September 27th 2024
SHSE:600104每股收益增长 2024年9月27日

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

在购买或出售股票之前,我们始终建议对历史增长趋势进行仔细研究,可以在这里找到相关信息。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, SAIC Motor's TSR for the last 5 years was -34%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑总股东回报率(TSR)与股价回报之间的区别。 TSR包括任何剥离或折价的资本募集价值,以及任何分红,基于分红被再投资的假设。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司,TSR通常比股价回报高得多。事实上,上汽集团过去5年的TSR为-34%,超过了之前提到的股价回报。公司支付的股息因此提升了总股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

Although it hurts that SAIC Motor returned a loss of 8.1% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 10%. Given the total loss of 6% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand SAIC Motor better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - SAIC Motor has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

尽管上汽集团在过去十二个月中录得8.1%的亏损,但更广泛的市场实际上表现更糟,录得10%的亏损。在过去五年中每年总共亏损了6%,看来最近十二个月中的回报已经恶化。虽然一些投资者专门从事购买陷入困境的公司(但价值被低估)的投资,并取得不错的业绩,但不要忘记巴菲特说过的“扭亏很少成功”。长期追踪股价表现总是很有趣。但要更好地了解上汽集团,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,冒险 - 我们认为上汽集团有2个警示信号(其中一个有点不愉快)需要您了解。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

当然,您可能在其他地方找到一家出色的企业进行投资。因此,请查看我们预计将实现盈利增长的公司的免费列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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