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Berry (NASDAQ:BRY) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Berry (NASDAQ:BRY) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Berry (纳斯达克:BRY) 在利用债务时承担了一些风险
Simply Wall St ·  09/27 06:31

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Berry Corporation (NASDAQ:BRY) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

由伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李露对此毫不掩饰,他说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当我们思考一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们注意到,贝瑞公司(纳斯达克股票代码:BRY)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

When Is Debt A Problem?

债务何时会成为问题?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

当企业无法通过自由现金流或以诱人的价格筹集资金来轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债就会变得有风险。归根结底,如果公司无法履行其偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能会一无所获。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东才能控制债务。当然,债务的好处在于,它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它取代一家有能力以高回报率进行再投资的公司的稀释时。考虑公司债务水平的第一步是将其现金和债务一起考虑。

How Much Debt Does Berry Carry?

贝瑞背负了多少债务?

As you can see below, Berry had US$433.7m of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

如下所示,截至2024年6月,贝瑞有4.337亿美元的债务,与前一年大致相同。您可以单击图表以获取更多详细信息。而且它没有太多现金,因此其净负债大致相同。

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NasdaqGS:BRY Debt to Equity History September 27th 2024
NASDAQGS: BRY 债权与股本比率历史记录 2024 年 9 月 27 日

How Strong Is Berry's Balance Sheet?

贝瑞的资产负债表有多强?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Berry had liabilities of US$204.5m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$655.4m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$6.69m and US$82.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$771.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

根据上次报告的资产负债表,贝瑞的负债为2.045亿美元,12个月后到期的负债为6.554亿美元。另一方面,它有669万美元的现金和价值8,200万美元的应收账款将在一年内到期。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和多出7.712亿美元。

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$383.9m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Berry would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

这里的缺陷严重影响了这家价值3.839亿美元的公司本身,就好像一个孩子在装满书本、运动装备和喇叭的巨大背包的重压下挣扎一样。因此,我们绝对认为股东需要密切关注这个问题。毕竟,如果贝瑞今天必须向债权人付款,则可能需要进行大规模的资本重组。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

为了扩大公司相对于收益的负债规模,我们计算其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),将其利息和税前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。因此,我们将债务与收益的关系考虑在内,包括和不包括折旧和摊销费用。

Even though Berry's debt is only 1.9, its interest cover is really very low at 0.23. In large part that's it has so much depreciation and amortisation. While companies often boast that these charges are non-cash, most such businesses will therefore require ongoing investment (that is not expensed.) Either way there's no doubt the stock is using meaningful leverage. Importantly, Berry's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 97% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Berry can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

尽管贝瑞的债务只有1.9,但其利息覆盖率确实很低,为0.23。在很大程度上,它有大量的折旧和摊销。尽管公司经常吹嘘这些费用是非现金的,但大多数此类企业因此需要持续的投资(不计入支出)。无论哪种方式,毫无疑问,该股正在使用有意义的杠杆作用。重要的是,贝瑞的息税前利润在过去十二个月中下降了惊人的97%。如果这种下降持续下去,那么偿还债务将比在素食大会上出售鹅肝更难。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但最终,该业务的未来盈利能力将决定贝瑞能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Berry actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润根本无法减少债务。因此,值得检查一下该息税前利润中有多少是由自由现金流支持的。令所有股东感到高兴的是,在过去三年中,贝瑞产生的自由现金流实际上超过了息税前利润。当Daft Punk音乐会的节拍下降时,这种强劲的现金转换让我们和观众一样兴奋。

Our View

我们的观点

On the face of it, Berry's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We're quite clear that we consider Berry to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Berry that you should be aware of before investing here.

从表面上看,贝瑞的息税前利润增长率使我们对该股持初步看法,其总负债水平并不比一年中最繁忙的夜晚那家空荡荡的餐厅更具吸引力。但好的一面是,它将息税前利润转换为自由现金流是一个好兆头,也使我们更加乐观。我们很清楚,由于其资产负债表的健康状况,我们认为贝瑞的风险确实相当大。因此,我们对这只鱼的警惕几乎就像一只饥饿的小猫要掉进主人的鱼池一样警惕:正如他们所说,一旦被咬伤,两次害羞。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如,我们发现了Berry的两个警告信号,在这里投资之前,您应该注意这些信号。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

毕竟,如果你对一家资产负债表坚如磐石的快速成长型公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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