Is It Too Late to Buy CP Stock?
Is It Too Late to Buy CP Stock?
The railway scene has been in for a pretty rough ride over the past few weeks. Undoubtedly, rail strike disruptions lasted for an incredibly short period of time. As I noted, such strike headlines were mostly near-term noise that meant absolutely nothing for the long-term fundamentals. Though rail strikes could leave a massive dent in the Canadian (and North American) economy as the goods stop moving from point A to point B, such disruptions would have likely translated to nothing more than better entry points for investors keen on adding to their exposure to the nation's top rail plays.
过去几周铁路行业经历了相当艰难的时期。毫无疑问,铁路罢工的影响仅持续了极其短暂的时间。正如我所指出的,这类罢工报道在很大程度上只是近期的噪音,对长期基本面毫无意义。尽管铁路罢工可能在加拿大(和北美)经济中留下巨大的伤痕,因为货物停止从A点到B点的运输,但这种干扰很可能只会转化为投资者寻求增加其对该国头部铁路公司敞口的更好进入点。
In this piece, we'll have a closer look at CP Rail (TSX:CP) stock, or CPKC (short for Canadian Pacific Kansas City) as it's now called. Following the purchase of Kansas City Southern, the company now finds itself as the largest rail in the country with a towering $107 billion market cap.
在本文中,我们将更详细地了解CP铁路(tsx:CP)股票,或CPKC(简称加拿大太平洋堪萨斯城)如今被称为的股票。在购买了堪萨斯城南方铁路后,该公司现在成为了该国市值最高的铁路公司,市值高达1070亿美元。
CP Rail stock: It hasn't looked this pricey in a while!
CP铁路股票:很久没这么贵过了!
CP Rail should not get too comfortable with its newfound market cap leadership position, though, as CN Rail (TSX:CNR) isn't all too far off with its $98.25 billion market cap. In any case, CP has been chugging forward at a faster rate than its long-time Canadian rival. But the big question is whether the momentum and superior stock chart make for a better buy as we enter the month of October.
尽管CP铁路不应过于舒适于其最新的市值领先地位,因为加拿大国家铁路(tsx: CNR)以其市值982.5亿美元并不相距太远。无论如何,与其长期竞争对手相比,CP一直以更快的速度前进。但一个重要问题是,随着我们进入十月,这种势头和优秀的股票图表是否能够带来更好的买入机会。
There is a danger to buying the better-performing, often far pricier stock. And with CP stock just under 7% away from hitting all-time highs just shy of $124 per share, I think that investors asking if it's too late to buy are on the right track (pardon the pun, folks!).
购买表现更好、往往价格更高的股票存在风险。由于CP股票距离每股近124美元的历史最高点仅不到7%的距离,我认为那些在考虑是否为时已晚时买入的投资者是正确的(请原谅我打了这个双关语,朋友们!)。
Is too much hype baked into CP stock?
CP股票炒作过头了吗?
At these levels, CP stock goes for a whopping 30.8 times trailing price to earnings (P/E). That's expensive for a railway play, and I don't care how much better it performs than rivals. There's way too much hype baked in right here, likely because of the remaining potential behind Kansas City Southern's assets purchased nearly three years ago.
在这个水平上,CP股票以令人吃惊的30.8倍的滚动市盈率出售。对于一家铁路公司来说,这是昂贵的,我不在乎它比竞争对手表现得好多少。由于堪萨斯城南方铁路资产购买近三年来仍存在潜力,这里炒作得太过了。
Undoubtedly, the new rail network looks enviable, especially the part that extends into the southern U.S. and Mexico. Should more firms look to move production and assembly to Mexico, CP could benefit from cross-border volumes.
毫无疑问,这个新的铁路网络看起来令人艳羡,尤其是延伸到美国南部和墨西哥的部分。如果更多公司考虑将生产和装配转移到墨西哥,CP可能会从跨境运量中获益。
That said, if Donald Trump is headed for the Oval Office again, I'd argue that big tariffs could be on the cars for goods shipped to the U.S. from Mexico.
话虽如此,如果特朗普再次进入总统办公室,我认为对从墨西哥运往美国的商品征收高额关税可能不可避免。
As such, I would not get overly bullish about CP Rail's unique network. Arguably, I think there's way too much enthusiasm baked into CP right here. Sure, it's the growthier, more exciting rail firm right here. However, you're paying a fat premium with the stock going for $114 and change, perhaps too fat a premium.
因此,我不会对加拿大太平洋铁路独特的网络过于看好。可以说,我认为目前CP股价中蕴含着过于乐观的热情。当然,它是更具增长性、更令人兴奋的铁路公司。但是,以目前股价为114美元左右交易,可能是一个过高的溢价。
Is it too late to buy CP stock?
现在买入CP股票是否已经太晚了?
Personally, I'd much rather go for a cheaper rail play. Whether you opt for CN Rail, which goes for 18.5 times trailing P/E, or one based out of the U.S., value investors can do better with almost any other North American rail. In short, I think it's too late to be a buyer of CP Rail stock. It's just way too expensive at north of 30 times trailing P/E.
就我个人而言,我更愿意选择更便宜的铁路投资。无论您选择加拿大国家铁路(CN Rail),其市盈率为18.5倍,还是选择美国的一家铁路公司,价值投资者几乎可以在任何其他北美铁路股票上找到更好的机会。简而言之,我认为现在买加拿大太平洋铁路(CP Rail)的股票已经太迟了。其市盈率远超过30倍。