Poly Property Services Co., Ltd. (HKG:6049) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 33% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 4.1% isn't as attractive.
Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Poly Property Services' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Hong Kong, where the median P/E ratio is around 9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Poly Property Services has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Poly Property Services will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Is There Some Growth For Poly Property Services?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Poly Property Services' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 18% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 92% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 8.8% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 12% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's curious that Poly Property Services' P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
What We Can Learn From Poly Property Services' P/E?
Poly Property Services' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/E level with the market. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
Our examination of Poly Property Services' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for Poly Property Services with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
You might be able to find a better investment than Poly Property Services. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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